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The latest Bet Better model pick for Christian Yelich is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +13.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:47PM UTC
MLB

Christian Yelich

MIL

+13.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+13.0% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+13.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored82.4%69.4%1.21+13.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-227). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

5 markets live
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs SDPU 1.5 -172
70%hit L10
Streak3L2060%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 7 hit
0004022

Christian Yelich MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs SDP. Current line U 1.5 at -172.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs SDPU 0.5 -357
80%hit L10
Streak3L2075%
Game log vs U 0.57 / 8 hit
00010000

Christian Yelich MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs SDP. Current line U 0.5 at -357.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs SDPU 0.5 -227
70%hit L10
Streak3L2065%
Game log vs U 0.56 / 9 hit
000010110

Christian Yelich MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs SDP. Current line U 0.5 at -227.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs SDPU 0.5 -159
60%hit L10
Streak5L2055%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 6 hit
100101

Christian Yelich MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs SDP. Current line U 0.5 at -159.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs SDPU 0.5 -1000
80%hit L10
L2085%
Game log vs U 0.56 / 7 hit
0010000

Christian Yelich MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs SDP. Current line U 0.5 at -1000.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2065%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
0020

Christian Yelich MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.2 · hi 2 · lo 0
02211

Christian Yelich MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Christian Yelich MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Christian Yelich (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Christian Yelich is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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