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Model picks & player props
MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers and backs Seattle Mariners -1.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $360.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Seattle Mariners -1.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$36.00Best price+260
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win33.1%
The price says27.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $360 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 20 Aug 2026, 2:11 PM ET at American Family Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners -1.5 Long-shot33% chance +260
Spread Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot19% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean45% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean46% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean45% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 89% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 92% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Walks × 9 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 88% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Seattle Mariners and Milwaukee Brewers last met on Thu 20 Aug 2026: Milwaukee Brewers won 7-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
Seattle Mariners
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,738+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Michael Arroyo SSOut
  • Josh Naylor 1BOut
  • Cal Raleigh COut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jacob Misiorowski SPDay-to-day
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP
Availability updated Oct 30, 7:09PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Brock Rodden Batter - Hits
Garrett Mitchell Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Robert Gasser Pitcher - Hits Allowed
William Contreras ATL Batter - Total Bases
Cole Young Batter - Hits

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 5-0, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 5-0, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 5-0, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
5.3runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 5-0, 5.4 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1TBAway
L3–4TBAway
W10–1TBAway
W5–4TBHome
W3–2TBHome
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–4LAAHome
W7–3LAAHome
L5–7LAAHome
L4–6LAAHome
W6–5HOUHome

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 1.2 runs per game (3-2) while Seattle Mariners are at 3.0 (5-0); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Seattle Mariners.

1.2
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
3.0
Seattle Mariners runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersSeattle Mariners
Runs / game1.23.0
Hits / game2.44.4
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.00.4
Batter K / game1.61.8
Earned runs allowed / game0.60.8
Pitching K / game1.81.4
Walks allowed / game0.20.4
L5 record3-25-0

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 3, Seattle Mariners won 2.

DateMilwaukee BrewersSeattle MarinersWinner
Aug 2074Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1957Seattle Mariners
Aug 18220Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 1837Seattle Mariners
Mar 863Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Jacob Misiorowski SPDAY-TO-DAY
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Michael Arroyo SSOUT
Josh Naylor 1BOUT
Cal Raleigh COUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brennen Davis CFOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Our Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers prediction for August 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 21, 2026 our model has run Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is David Hamilton Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Thursday 20 August 2026 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 20 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers beat Seattle Mariners 7-4 at home
  • 19 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners beat Milwaukee Brewers 7-5 on the road
  • 18 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers beat Seattle Mariners 22-0 at home

Seattle Mariners: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Los Angeles Angels 7-3
  2. 26 Sep 2026Wonvs Los Angeles Angels 8-4
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Angels 5-7
  4. 24 Sep 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Angels 4-6
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Houston Astros 6-5

Milwaukee Brewers: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Rays 4-1
  2. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  3. 26 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Rays 10-1
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Rays 5-4
  5. 23 Oct 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners game? Milwaukee Brewers won their last meeting 7-4 on 20 August 2026.

How have Seattle Mariners and Milwaukee Brewers done lately? Seattle Mariners won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Milwaukee Brewers won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Even at 11–11 across the last 23 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 10.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 20 Aug 2026, Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: the Brewers won 7-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers7–4Milwaukee Brewers
19 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers5–7Seattle Mariners
18 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers22–0Milwaukee Brewers
18 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners7–3Seattle Mariners
8 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers6–3Milwaukee Brewers
23 Jul 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners2–10Milwaukee Brewers
22 Jul 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners1–0Seattle Mariners
21 Jul 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners0–6Milwaukee Brewers
23 Mar 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners10–6Seattle Mariners
18 Mar 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners9–3Seattle Mariners

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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