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Dustin May

MLB

Value call

Dustin May has one live pick today: over 4.5 strikeouts that pays $500 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
4.4 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.4% · before adjusting for past results 44.1% · the book's price implies 20.0% · gap +18.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 6 Oct, 9:30 PM ET
Dustin May
over 4.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 4.5 +400 (5.00) · $100→$500
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 38 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$50.00 Odds+400
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dustin May is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 20%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 12:08PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts44.1%38.4%20.0%5.43+24.1%

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AI Analysis

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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Dustin May Over 4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+340)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dustin May has been pretty solid at Petco Park, averaging nearly 6 strikeouts in his last 10 games there. With the San Diego Padres winning 8 of their last 10, they seem to be riding a good wave of momentum. Plus, the Brewers have also been strong lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games, which could lead to some tough at-bats for May. While both teams are playing well, the risk is that the Brewers score 5.1 runs a game this year, meaning they can hit. Still, May's track record suggests he can handle the pressure and get those strikeouts. With these odds, taking the over on 4.5 strikeouts looks like a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Dustin May average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts 2.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
06 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks 0.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
06 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dustin May is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dustin May is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.1% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 6 October at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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