William Contreras (MIL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Brewers host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on William Contreras. While he’s shown flashes of power this season, he's facing a pitcher who can challenge him. The Blue Jays' starter has been sharp lately, boasting a solid strikeout rate that often keeps hitters like Contreras off balance.
Moreover, Milwaukee’s offense has been sputtering, especially in key moments. Contreras’s recent performances reflect this trend—he’s consistently struggled against right-handed pitching, which is exactly what he’ll see tonight. With the Brewers averaging just under 4 runs a game, opportunities for extra bases may be scarce.
Considering that the model has Contreras projected for just 0.57 total bases, betting the under on 1.5 feels like the smart play. With the odds favoring a slowdown in his production, it’s a prime moment for a conservative bet against a hitter who may find himself on the quieter side of the scoreboard.