Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for William Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +5.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:32PM UTC
MLB
William Contreras
ATL
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+5.7% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers
@
San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
67.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 72.8% | — | 67.1% | 1.37 | +5.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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William Contreras (ATL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
San Diego Padres play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is William Contreras (ATL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-204). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -189 Game log vs U 1.55 / 7 hit
William Contreras MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -189.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -286 Game log vs U 0.56 / 8 hit
William Contreras MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -286.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -204 Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
William Contreras MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -204.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -123 William Contreras MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -123.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -625 Game log vs U 0.51 / 3 hit
William Contreras MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -625.
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -270 Game log vs U 0.56 / 8 hit
William Contreras MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -270.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
William Contreras MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.575%
O 1.525%
O 2.525%
O 3.525%
O 4.525%
William Contreras MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted William Contreras MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
William Contreras (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for William Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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