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The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Henderson is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 8:37AM UTC
MLB

Logan Henderson

MIL

+6.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -385 (1.26)
+6.8% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Wed 29 Jul, 7:45PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs MIL @ SF
updated Jul 29, 1:45AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
86.2%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+6.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks86.2%79.4%1.16+6.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Logan Henderson (MIL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Francisco Giants host the Milwaukee Brewers, all eyes should be on Logan Henderson, whose ability to limit walks has been impressive. Over his last several starts, Henderson has shown remarkable control, averaging just under 0.6 walks per game. His pinpoint command is complemented by a fastball that keeps hitters off balance, leading to more swings and misses rather than free passes. The Giants' lineup has also been known to be patient, but they face a Brewers team that struggles to capitalize on walks, ranking near the bottom in drawing them. With the stakes high and both teams vying for playoff positioning, expect Henderson to rise to the occasion. Given his current form and the Brewers' offensive trends, betting on him to stay under 1.5 walks seems like a smart play. The odds lean heavily in favor of this outcome, making it a compelling angle in today’s matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Pitcher - WalksUpcoming vs SFGU 1.5 -385+6.8% edge

Logan Henderson MLB walks vs SFG. Current line U 1.5 at -385 (+6.8% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Logan Henderson (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Henderson is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants on Wednesday 29 July at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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