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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jackson Chourio is Over 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 29 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 29%, the price says 33%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 3:25AM UTC
MLB

Jackson Chourio

MIL

Value call

Jackson Chourio has one live pick today: Batter - Walks Over 0.5 that pays $306 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Over 0.5 +206 (3.06) · $100→$306
Value call
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Wed 7 Oct, 1:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
29 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 28.7% · before adjusting for past results 35.1% · the book's price implies 32.7% · gap -4.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks35.1%28.7%32.7%3.30+2.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Batter - Walks (+206)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The San Diego Padres are playing well, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've allowed around 4.2 runs per game, which means their pitching isn't overpowering. On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers have also been hot, winning 8 of their last 10. They score about 5.1 runs a game, so they can put pressure on pitchers. Jackson Chourio has been hitting well lately, averaging 2 hits per game and not striking out at all in his last 3 games. That means he's got a good chance to get on base. With both teams in strong form, Chourio getting over 0.5 walks feels like a smart bet. The main risk here is how closely matched these teams are, but Chourio's recent performance gives him a solid shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jackson Chourio's lines for Wed 7 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Walks 0.5
+215 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?

Jackson Chourio's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +215 across 5 books.

Batter Hits 2.5
-200 best over price · 11 booksHow many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?

Jackson Chourio's batter hits line is 2.5, best over price -200 across 11 books.

Batter Stolen Bases 1.5
+586 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?

Jackson Chourio's batter stolen bases line is 1.5, best over price +586 across 5 books.

Batter Stolen Bases 0.5
+586 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?

Jackson Chourio's batter stolen bases line is 0.5, best over price +586 across 5 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?

Jackson Chourio's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jackson Chourio is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.6
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Jackson Chourio has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.50%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jackson Chourio is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs LAD
0.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs LAD
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jackson Chourio hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jackson Chourio (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Chourio is Over 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Wednesday 7 October at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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