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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jackson Chourio is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +11.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:12PM UTC
MLB

Jackson Chourio

MLB

+11.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Under 1.5 -169 (1.59)
+11.5% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Thu 6 Aug, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.4%
Implied Probability
62.9%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs74.4%62.9%1.34+11.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-169). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.92 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -161
100%hit L10
Streak13L2085%
Game log vs U 1.58 / 10 hit
0011112060

Jackson Chourio MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -161.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -108
90%hit L10
L2070%
U 1.590%
U 2.590%
Game log vs U 1.52 / 5 hit
22160

Jackson Chourio MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -108.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -256
90%hit L10
L2075%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
000020

Jackson Chourio MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -256.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -118
50%hit L10
L2065%
U 0.550%
U 1.590%
Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
00020

Jackson Chourio MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -118.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -556
100%hit L10
Streak13L2090%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 4 hit
0100

Jackson Chourio MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -556.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -909
90%hit L10
L2085%

Jackson Chourio MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -909.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak4
O 0.550%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.9 · hi 2 · lo 0
02011111

Jackson Chourio MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 1 · lo 1
111

Jackson Chourio MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Jackson Chourio MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jackson Chourio is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Chourio is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday 6 August at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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