Jake Bauers (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Toronto Blue Jays, betting on Jake Bauers to stay under 0.5 stolen bases feels like a savvy move. Bauers, while a skilled hitter, has primarily focused on driving in runs rather than swiping bases, making him less of a threat on the basepaths. Historically, he’s only attempted a handful of steals this season, and with a mere 7% success rate, the risk of him taking off is low.
Additionally, the Brewers' strong defensive unit, particularly their catcher, has shown impressive prowess in controlling the running game. With an implied probability of over 92% for Bauers not to steal a base, it’s hard to see him breaking that trend against a team that’s been solid at keeping runners in check. Given these elements, wagering on the under presents a compelling narrative that aligns with current form and match conditions.