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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 9:57PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 12 Oct 2025, 12:08AM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago Cubs 1.5 Spread -204

The model graded 24 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $149 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 12 Oct 2025, 12:08AM at American Family Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win86.7%
The price says67.1%
Best price-204
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Chicago Cubs 1.5 High87% chance -204
Team Total Lean54% chance
Moneyline High63% chance
Team Total High82% chance
Team Total High93% chance
Team Total Long-shot33% chance
Team Total High93% chance
Team Total High63% chance
Team Total High98% chance
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 77%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 30 bookmakers compared
Winner
Brewers2.00+100FanDuel
Chicago Cubs2.00+100Betfair Exchange
Total runs
Over9.52.00+100Hard Rock Bet
Under9.51.91-110LowVig

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Chicago Cubs
+1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Clay Holmes SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Abner Uribe RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Harrison SP
Availability updated Aug 31, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ian Happ CHC Batter - Hits
Brice Turang MIL Batter - Hits
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter - Hits
William Contreras MIL Batter - Hits

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2Free board10-8

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 3-2, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
1.3runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.2 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7TEXHome
W5–3TEXHome
W6–1TEXHome
W8–2NYMAway
W8–1NYMAway
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–7CINHome
W17–5CINHome
L8–10CINHome
L4–5ARIAway
L0–2ARIAway

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.8 runs per game (3-2) while Chicago Cubs are at 6.8 (3-2); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for Chicago Cubs.

5.8
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
6.8
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersChicago Cubs
Runs / game5.86.8
Hits / game8.410.6
Home runs / game0.62.2
Walks drawn / game3.82.4
Batter K / game5.69.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.23.6
Pitching K / game4.48.0
Walks allowed / game2.63.8
L5 record3-23-2

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 4, Chicago Cubs won 4.

DateMilwaukee BrewersChicago CubsWinner
Jun 2834Chicago Cubs
Jun 2728Chicago Cubs
Jun 2662Milwaukee Brewers
May 2050Milwaukee Brewers
May 1952Milwaukee Brewers
May 1893Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 22012Chicago Cubs
Mar 414Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Abner Uribe RPOUT
JoJo Romero RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Joel Kuhnel RPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs. Includes analysis on key players like Kyle Tucker. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.

Kyle Tucker (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 12 October 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 56 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 31–25 across the last 56 meetings · these games average 8.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers3–4Chicago Cubs
27 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers2–8Chicago Cubs
26 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers6–2Milwaukee Brewers
20 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs0–5Milwaukee Brewers
19 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs2–5Milwaukee Brewers
18 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs3–9Milwaukee Brewers
22 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs12–0Chicago Cubs
4 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers1–4Chicago Cubs
11 Oct 2025Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers3–1Milwaukee Brewers
9 Oct 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs6–0Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 56 meetings on file.

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