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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Aranda is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:10PM UTC
MLB

Jonathan Aranda

TBR

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -323 (1.31)
+12.9% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 7:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.3%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles89.3%76.3%1.12+12.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-323). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Jonathan Aranda MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 5 · lo 0
4202205

Jonathan Aranda MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.7 · hi 3 · lo 0
023

Jonathan Aranda MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
0023

Jonathan Aranda MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Jonathan Aranda MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Jonathan Aranda MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
0001

Jonathan Aranda MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.530%

Jonathan Aranda MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jonathan Aranda (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Aranda is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies on Wednesday 5 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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