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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Aranda is Over 3.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 17 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 17%, the price says 14%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 3:24AM UTC
MLB

Jonathan Aranda

TBR

Value call

Jonathan Aranda has one live pick today: Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 3.5 that pays $700 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 3.5 +600 (7.00) · $100→$700
Value call
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Tue 6 Oct, 12:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
17 in 100
Predicted
1.8 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 17.0% · before adjusting for past results 16.3% · the book's price implies 14.3% · gap +2.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs16.3%17.0%14.3%5.89+2.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (+600)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Jonathan Aranda has been putting on a show at Tropicana Field, averaging more than two total bases in his last ten games. He's been hitting strong lately, especially against teams like the Yankees. With the Rays winning three of their last six games, they seem to be finding their rhythm, and Aranda could be a big part of that success today. The Yankees have also been playing well, winning four of their last six games. However, their pitching staff has allowed more baserunners than the league average, which could give Aranda some chances to shine. The biggest risk here is that Aranda's performance can be hit or miss, but with those odds at +600, it's worth a shot that he can get over 3.5 hits, runs, and RBIs.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jonathan Aranda is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.2
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Jonathan Aranda has gone over 0.5 H in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.520%
o2.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jonathan Aranda is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.6
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs TOR
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.6
HR · vs TOR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jonathan Aranda (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Aranda is Over 3.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday 6 October at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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