Richie Palacios (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the White Sox take on the Rays, all eyes will be on Richie Palacios, but betting on him to steal a base feels risky. Tampa's pitching has been stellar lately, with a strikeout rate among the league's best, which limits opportunities for base runners. Palacios, while a speedy player, hasn't shown a strong propensity for theft this season—he averages barely a steal per 20 games.
Moreover, with the Rays' disciplined approach to controlling the running game, they’re not just about power; they’re about keeping the game tight. The odds are heavily stacked against Palacios, as the statistical model gives him just a 5% chance of swiping a bag. Given these insights and the current dynamics of both teams, backing the under on Palacios' stolen bases feels like the smart play in this matchup.