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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 1:14AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago White Sox -2 Spread +1300

The model graded 24 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $1,400 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 2 Aug 2026, 5:40PM at Tropicana Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.2%
The price says7.1%
Best price+1300
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Chicago White Sox -2 Lean59% chance +1300
Moneyline High70% chance
Spread Lean51% chance
Spread Long-shot40% chance
Spread High82% chance
Spread Long-shot20% chance
Spread Long-shot23% chance
Spread Long-shot30% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 2 props Highup to 87%
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 82%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Chicago White Sox -2 · $100 returned $382

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Chicago White Sox
-5.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 4 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Tyler Schweitzer RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Jordan Hicks SP

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Griffin Jax SPOut
  • Cole Sulser RPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Rasmussen SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Munetaka Murakami Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Chandler Simpson Batter - Total Bases
Sam Antonacci Batter - Total Bases

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA0.4Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L55-0Free board14-13

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.4 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA0.4Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L55-0Free board13-12

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 5-0, 2.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF2.4L5 RA0.4Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L55-0

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.4 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–6SDHome
W9–4SDHome
W3–0DETAway
L1–4DETAway
W4–1DETAway
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
L2–11TEXHome

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 4, Chicago White Sox won 2.

DateTampa Bay RaysChicago White SoxWinner
Aug 219Chicago White Sox
Aug 110Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 3116Chicago White Sox
Apr 1653Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 1583Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 1485Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Griffin Jax SPOUT
Cole Sulser RPOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Tyler Schweitzer RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Our Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays prediction for August 2, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 2, 2026 our model has run Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox: Tampa Bay Rays Win (-139), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -2 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -1 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -1.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Moneyline Chicago White Sox ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Rays, or as Rays vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 2 August 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 14–11 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 10.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays1–9Chicago White Sox
1 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays1–0Tampa Bay Rays
31 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays1–6Chicago White Sox
16 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox3–5Tampa Bay Rays
15 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox3–8Tampa Bay Rays
14 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox5–8Tampa Bay Rays
11 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox5–1Chicago White Sox
10 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox6–5Chicago White Sox
9 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox4–5Tampa Bay Rays
23 Jul 2025Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays9–11Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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