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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Colorado Rockies

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies and backs Over 11.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $216.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 7:11PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 11.5 Total Runs +116

The model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $216 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 7:11PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.1%
The price says46.3%
Best price+116
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 11.5 High66% chance +116
Total Runs Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High72% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean40% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean55% chance Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 3 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Highup to 89% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 86% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 79% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 3 props Highup to 81% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 80% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies last met on Wed 5 Aug 2026: Tampa Bay Rays won 9-7. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
8
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,586+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Griffin Jax SPDay-to-day
  • Jacob Melton LFOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Freddy Peralta SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Freddy Peralta Pitcher - Earned Runs
Jonathan Aranda TBR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Hunter Goodman Batter - Runs Scored
Hunter Goodman Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4CHWAway
W9–6CHWAway
L1–6CHWAway
L3–5ARIHome
L8–12ARIHome
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W1–0NYYHome
L3–7PHIAway
W12–1PHIAway
W2–0PHIAway
L4–6NYYAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 0, Tampa Bay Rays won 3.

DateColorado RockiesTampa Bay RaysWinner
Aug 579Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 504Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 4913Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Kris Bryant DHOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Griffin Jax SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jacob Melton LFOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies prediction for August 6, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 6, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Walks (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 10–2 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 12.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 5 Aug 2026, Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies: the Rays won 9-7.

DateGameScoreWinner
5 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies7–9Tampa Bay Rays
4 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies9–13Tampa Bay Rays
3 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies9–13Tampa Bay Rays
30 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays6–4Tampa Bay Rays
29 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays1–2Colorado Rockies
28 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays3–2Tampa Bay Rays
7 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies2–3Tampa Bay Rays
6 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies6–8Tampa Bay Rays
5 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies10–7Colorado Rockies
24 Aug 2023Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays5–3Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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