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Chandler Simpson

TBR

Value call

Chandler Simpson has one live pick today: over 1.5 stolen bases that pays $1,720 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.5 stolen bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.6% · before adjusting for past results 10.9% · the book's price implies 5.8% · gap -2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 7 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Chandler Simpson
over 1.5 stolen bases
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 +1620 (17.20) · $100→$1,720
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$172.00 Odds+1620
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chandler Simpson is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 4:04AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases10.9%3.6%5.8%27.69+5.1%

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AI Analysis

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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+1620)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Chandler Simpson to steal more than 1.5 bases tonight, he needs to be quick on the bases and take advantage of any chances. The New York Yankees' pitching staff has been pretty solid lately, allowing fewer runners than most teams. However, the Tampa Bay Rays have also been showing some good form, and Simpson hasn't stolen bases at a high rate away from home. That said, Simpson has been strong at Yankee Stadium, averaging nearly 1.4 hits there over his last ten games. If he gets on base and uses his speed, he could surprise folks. Just remember, the Yankees' pitchers might keep him in check, which is the biggest risk for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chandler Simpson (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chandler Simpson is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 7 October at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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