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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chandler Simpson is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 31%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 18, 3:07PM UTC
MLB

Chandler Simpson

TBR

Chandler Simpson has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 that pays $270 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 +170 (2.70) · $100→$270
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 107 of 225 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
31 in 100
Predicted
0.6 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 30.7% · before adjusting for past results 28.8% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap -6.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored28.8%30.7%37.0%3.26-8.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox: Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+170)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chandler Simpson has been a solid performer at Tropicana Field, averaging nearly 0.7 runs in his last 10 games. With the Tampa Bay Rays playing well lately, scoring about 1.3 runs more than their opponents in recent matchups, it's a good time to back him. The Rays have won 7 of their last 10 games, and Simpson has been getting his chances at the plate. The Boston Red Sox are also doing well, winning the same number of games recently. However, they've been facing left-handed pitchers like Simpson, who has a decent chance to score. The one clear risk here is that Chandler averages only 4.1 plate appearances at home. Still, taking the bet on him to score over 0.5 runs looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Chandler Simpson's lines for Fri 18 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 2.5
+260 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter hits line is 2.5, best over price +260 across 1 book.

Batter Hits 1.5
+260 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter hits line is 1.5, best over price +260 across 1 book.

Batter Stolen Bases 1.5
+318 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 0 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter stolen bases line is 1.5, best over price +318 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 0 of his last 10 games.

Batter Singles 1.5
+340 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter singles line is 1.5, best over price +340 across 1 book.

Batter Singles 0.5
-145 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price -145 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Total Bases 3.5
How many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?

Chandler Simpson's batter total bases line is 3.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Chandler Simpson has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Chandler Simpson hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
17 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending
17 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chandler Simpson (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chandler Simpson is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 18 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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