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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chandler Simpson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +27.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 7:36AM UTC
MLB

Chandler Simpson

TBR

+27.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -145 (1.69)
+27.0% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
86.1%
Implied Probability
59.2%
Model Edge
+27.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits86.1%—59.2%1.16+27.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/6

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AI Analysis

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Chandler Simpson (TBR) Under 1.5 Hits (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Rays, all eyes will be on Chandler Simpson, but the trends suggest a quiet day at the plate for him. Simpson’s recent form has been anything but explosive; he's batting only.215 over the last month and has struggled against right-handed pitching, which is what he'll face today. The Rays’ pitching staff has been a force lately, boasting a stingy 3.30 team ERA on the road. Tampa’s ace, who’s likely to take the mound, thrives on inducing weak contact, making it tough for hitters like Simpson to find their rhythm. With the odds leaning heavily toward the under on his hits, it’s hard to envision him breaking past that 1.5 mark today. Given the Mariners' inconsistent offensive output lately, betting on Simpson to stay under seems like a savvy play as he faces tough competition in a crucial matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs SEAU 1.5 -145
80%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.53 / 5 hit
20021

Chandler Simpson MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs SEA. Current line U 1.5 at -145.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs SEAU 1.5 -145
60%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.55 / 12 hit
303140013222

Chandler Simpson MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs SEA. Current line U 1.5 at -145.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs SEAU 1.5 -120
67%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.53 / 6 hit
005203

Chandler Simpson MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs SEA. Current line U 1.5 at -120.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs SEAU 1.5 -196
Game log vs U 1.51 / 3 hit
212

Chandler Simpson MLB singles vs SEA. Current line U 1.5 at -196.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Chandler Simpson MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
00200

Chandler Simpson MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 1 · lo 0
00101

Chandler Simpson MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Doubles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chandler Simpson (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chandler Simpson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.0% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 9 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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