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The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Hicks is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +5.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 27, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Liam Hicks

MLB

+5.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+5.7% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Fri 24 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.9%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+5.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases72.9%—67.1%1.37+5.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Liam Hicks (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Marlins host the San Diego Padres, all eyes will be on Liam Hicks, but betting the 'Under' on his total bases feels like the right call. Hicks has been in a bit of a funk lately, struggling against right-handed pitching, and the Padres will throw out a tough righty in their starter. The Marlins’ lineup has seen better days, currently sitting in the bottom third in the league in total bases per game. Meanwhile, Miami's home field tends to favor pitchers, and with the humid Florida air, the ball doesn’t carry as much. Add in the Padres’ solid bullpen, which has been tough to crack, and the odds feel even more stacked against Hicks piling up those bases. With a projected total well below his line of 1.5, this seems like a smart play to keep Hicks under the radar.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
O 1.510%

Liam Hicks MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.3 · hi 5 · lo 0
250

Liam Hicks MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Liam Hicks MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Liam Hicks MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Liam Hicks MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Liam Hicks MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Liam Hicks MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
21 Jul 26 Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -179 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Liam Hicks is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Liam Hicks is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins on Friday 24 July at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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