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Freddy Peralta

TBR

Value call

Freddy Peralta has one live pick today: over 4.5 strikeouts that pays $294 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
5.3 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.4% · the book's price implies 34.0% · gap +27.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Tue 13 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Freddy Peralta
over 4.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 4.5 +194 (2.94) · $100→$294
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$29.40 Odds+194
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Freddy Peralta is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 6:12AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 142 of 244 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts61.4%—34.0%1.63+27.4%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians: Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+194)

Odds correct at time of publishing

You can get good odds on Freddy Peralta to have over 4.5 strikeouts against the Cleveland Guardians. Our numbers suggest he has a solid chance to reach this mark, especially since the Guardians' lineup has been striking out a bit more than usual lately. Plus, their starting pitcher has been strong, allowing very few runs, which could give Peralta more opportunities to rack up those strikeouts. The Guardians have been winning a lot lately, so they will be tough. The risk here is that they might make contact more often if they're on a roll. But with Peralta's ability to get batters out and the Guardians' recent tendency to strike out, this could be a good bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Freddy Peralta's lines for Wed 14 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 3.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 3.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 2.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 2.5.

Pitcher Outs 13.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher outs line is 13.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 1.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher strikeouts line is 1.5.

Pitcher Hits Allowed 3.5

Freddy Peralta's pitcher hits allowed line is 3.5.

Betting angles

4 markets live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming vs CLEO 4.5 +194
Game log vs O 4.51 / 4 hit
4643

Freddy Peralta MLB strikeouts vs CLE. Current line O 4.5 at +194.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming vs CLEO 3.5 -105
Game log vs O 3.55 / 9 hit
617250443

Freddy Peralta MLB hits allowed vs CLE. Current line O 3.5 at -105.

Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming vs CLEO 1.5 -102
Game log vs O 1.53 / 8 hit
73510101

Freddy Peralta MLB earned runs vs CLE. Current line O 1.5 at -102.

Pitcher - OutsUpcoming vs CLEO 13.5 -123
Game log vs O 13.54 / 4 hit
15171614

Freddy Peralta MLB outs vs CLE. Current line O 13.5 at -123.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Outs 13.5 Over -101 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +127 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Freddy Peralta (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Freddy Peralta is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday 13 October at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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