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Freddy Peralta

MLB

Value call

Freddy Peralta has one live pick today: over 4.5 hits allowed that pays $226 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
4.6 hits allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 43.1% · before adjusting for past results 48.0% · the book's price implies 44.2% · gap -1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Freddy Peralta
over 4.5 hits allowed
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 4.5 +126 (2.26) · $100→$226
Value call
LEANWins about 43 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.60 Odds+126
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Freddy Peralta is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 5, 3:29AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed48.0%43.1%44.2%2.26+3.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers: Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (+126)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Freddy Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers is facing the Tampa Bay Rays, and this matchup could be tricky for him. The Rays' hitters have been finding their rhythm lately, winning 5 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, Peralta has allowed runs at a rate much better than average, but he's also had some rough outings lately. Betting on Peralta to allow more than 4.5 hits makes sense here. Currently, he's averaging just 0.3 hits allowed per game over his last three games, which is concerning. The Rays' offense can put pressure on pitchers, and they're scoring well. While this bet seems like a fair chance, Peralta's recent form adds some risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)
Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Freddy Peralta average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Over +126 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Freddy Peralta is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Freddy Peralta is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays on Monday 26 October at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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