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MLB

Freddy Peralta

MIL

+2.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -1250 (1.08)
+2.6% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Sat 4 Oct, 6:08PM
Model Probability
95.2%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Freddy Peralta (MIL) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Freddy Peralta for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice considering his recent performance data. In his last five games, Peralta has allowed an average of 4 hits overall and 4.8 hits at home. This is significantly higher than the line set at 1.5. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) averages, both overall and at home, are over 5 innings, giving ample opportunity for hits to occur. Furthermore, Peralta's current hit streaks, 31 overall and 17 at home, suggest a consistent pattern of allowing hits. While his hit allowance against the Cubs is lower at 2.4, it is still above the line. Thus, based on Peralta's recent averages and streaks, the Over 1.5 bet for hits allowed is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

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