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Ryan Pepiot

TBR

+2.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -1250 (1.08)
+2.4% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Tue 23 Sep, 10:35PM
Model Probability
94.9%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Ryan Pepiot (TBR) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ryan Pepiot for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his consistent performance data. His last five games show an average of 6.4 hits allowed overall and 4.8 hits allowed when playing away. Specifically against the Baltimore Orioles, his average hits allowed rise to 7.5. These numbers are significantly higher than the 1.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, Pepiot's current hit streaks, both overall and away, stand at 17 and 14 respectively, further supporting the trend of him allowing more than 1.5 hits. While his average innings pitched and outs are relatively stable, the higher hits allowed average suggests that the opposing teams frequently manage to score hits off his pitches. This consistent pattern makes the Over 1.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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