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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Pfaadt is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 21, 3:56AM UTC
MLB

Brandon Pfaadt

MLB

Value call

Brandon Pfaadt has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 that pays $176 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
Value call
New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
4.0 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.7% · before adjusting for past results 63.5% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap -2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts63.5%54.7%56.8%1.86+6.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-132)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-132). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Brandon Pfaadt is averaging 5.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
1.8
Runs
1.0
Walks
4.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Brandon Pfaadt has gone over 1.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.5100%
o2.570%
o3.550%
o4.540%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Brandon Pfaadt is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in home games, including his recent form against SFG.

5.0
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Home
3.0
Hits · vs SFG
1.0
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
1.3
HR · vs SFG
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Walks Pending
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Pfaadt is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Pfaadt is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday 20 September at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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