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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ketel Marte is Under 1.5 on Batter - Singles.
On the Batter - Singles market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:45PM UTC
MLB

Ketel Marte

MLB

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Singles Under 1.5 -556 (1.18)
+10.6% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sat 18 Jul, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
95.3%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Singles95.3%—84.7%1.05+10.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Ketel Marte (NA) Under 1.5 Singles (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Arizona Diamondbacks host the St. Louis Cardinals, the spotlight shines on Ketel Marte, whose recent performance offers a compelling narrative for betting the under on 1.5 singles. Over the past month, Marte has faced a steady diet of elite pitching, and against right-handers, he’s been less effective, posting a concerning .240 average. With the Cardinals sending out a formidable starter who's been a strikeout machine, Marte could find himself challenged at the plate. Additionally, Marte's ability to generate singles has waned, with just one single in his last five games. The Diamondbacks' offense, while dynamic, struggles consistently against power arms, suggesting that Marte might be unable to find the gaps today. Given these trends and the Cardinals' recent dominance in limiting opposing batters, going under on Marte’s singles seems like a savvy move. Expect a tough day for him at the dish.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
22201

Ketel Marte MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 4.520%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 1.5 · hi 3 · lo 0
3102

Ketel Marte MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2055%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
1102

Ketel Marte MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -556 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ketel Marte is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ketel Marte is Under 1.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday 18 July at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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