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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lars Nootbaar is Over 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 58%, edge -3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Lars Nootbaar

STL

-3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
-3.4% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 2:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
55 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 55.1% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap -3.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs55.1%49.1%58.5%2.01-3.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-141)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Lars Nootbaar has been hitting well lately, averaging no strikeouts in his last three games, which shows he's making solid contact. The Giants have struggled against left-handed pitchers, which bodes well for Nootbaar as he faces one tonight. With the wind blowing out toward the outfield, hitters like him could take advantage and rack up hits, runs, and RBIs. Although the Giants have only won three of their last ten games, Nootbaar's recent form suggests he could step up. The matchup is close, but the Diamondbacks have been strong against lefties this year, hitting much better than the league average. It's a risky pick, but Nootbaar has a solid chance to go over 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Lars Nootbaar is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.2
HR
0.8
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Lars Nootbaar has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.540%
o2.540%
o3.520%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Lars Nootbaar is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in away games, including his recent form against CHC.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.6
Hits · Away
0.4
Hits · vs CHC
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs CHC
Quick answers:How many home runs does Lars Nootbaar hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -345 ✗ MISS
29 Aug 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lars Nootbaar (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lars Nootbaar is Over 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of -3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants on Sunday 30 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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