Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lars Nootbaar is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:37PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-556 (1.18) · $100→$118
+4.4% Edge
Colorado Rockies
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
84.7%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 89.2% | — | 84.7% | 1.12 | +4.4% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Lars Nootbaar (STL) Under 0.5 Doubles (-556)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Arizona Diamondbacks play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Lars Nootbaar (STL) Under 0.5 Doubles (-556). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -556 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
5 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -182 Game log vs U 1.53 / 4 hit
Lars Nootbaar MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -182.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -112 Game log vs U 1.54 / 5 hit
Lars Nootbaar MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -112.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -244 Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
Lars Nootbaar MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -244.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -161 Game log vs U 0.56 / 7 hit
Lars Nootbaar MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -161.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -556 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Lars Nootbaar MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -556.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Lars Nootbaar MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Lars Nootbaar MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
Lars Nootbaar MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
Lars Nootbaar MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Lars Nootbaar MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Lars Nootbaar (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lars Nootbaar is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday 11 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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