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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Geraldo Perdomo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 18, 9:28AM UTC
MLB

Geraldo Perdomo

MLB

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -526 (1.19)
+15.4% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sat 18 Jul, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.4%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+15.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks99.4%84.0%1.01+15.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Geraldo Perdomo (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Diamondbacks gear up to host the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Geraldo Perdomo, especially in the walks department. Despite showing flashes of brilliance, Perdomo has struggled to draw walks lately, averaging just 0.5 walks over his last ten games. The Cardinals' pitching staff, particularly their starters, have kept opposing hitters in check, boasting a solid 7.8% walk rate against them this season. What’s more, Perdomo faces a tough matchup against a pitcher known for command; he isn't likely to be overly generous on the mound. Given the stakes of this game and the recent trends, it's no surprise that the under on Perdomo's walks is drawing attention. With the odds favoring a low walk count and a significant edge leaning towards the under, it seems likely that Perdomo won't be adding to his walk totals today. Look for him to remain aggressive at the plate rather than taking those free passes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -526+15.4% edge
Game log vs U 1.53 / 4 hit
2001

Geraldo Perdomo MLB walks. Current line U 1.5 at -526 (+15.4% model edge).

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%

Geraldo Perdomo MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -222 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks Pending
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks Pending
08 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

Geraldo Perdomo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Geraldo Perdomo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday 18 July at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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