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Model picks & player props
Arizona Diamondbacks
VS
Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 23, 6:10AM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies and backs Colorado Rockies 6.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $112.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep 2026, 12:40AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Colorado Rockies 6.5 Spread -833

The model graded 20 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $112 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 24 Sep 2026, 12:40AM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.1%
The price says89.3%
Best price-833
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Colorado Rockies 6.5 High92% chance -833
Spread Members only High95% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot9% chance Members
Total Runs Members only High83% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot24% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean47% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Arizona Diamondbacks are the model's favourite to beat Colorado Rockies, with a 56% chance to win. Predicted score: Colorado Rockies 5.2 – Arizona Diamondbacks 5.6. Kick-off Thu 24 Sep, 12:40AM at Coors Field. Best bet: Colorado Rockies 6.5 at -833.
How they've been scoring this season
Arizona DiamondbacksColorado Rockies
Won-lost82-7457-99
Runs scored per game4.44.7
Runs allowed per game4.45.8
On the road / at home37-38 away32-46 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLWWLLLWL
Their games average 9.7 total runs this season.
From the 156 Arizona Diamondbacks and 156 Colorado Rockies games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 52 bookmakers compared
Winner
Diamondbacks1.69-145Betfair Ex Eu
Rockies2.44+144Kalshi
Total runs
Over111.89-112MyBookie
Under112.00+100BetMGM

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies odds by bookmaker

52 books · best price in green
BookDiamondbacks winRockies winRockies +1.5Over 11Under 11
1xBet1.68-1472.35+1351.96-104
888sport1.62-1612.30+1301.85-118
Bally Bet1.62-1612.33+1331.88-114
BetAnySports1.64-1562.38+1381.88-1141.87-1151.95-105
BetMGM1.62-1612.35+1351.87-1151.83-1202.00+100
BetOnline1.67-1492.36+1361.90-1111.87-1151.95-105
betPARX1.62-1612.33+1331.88-114
BetRivers1.63-1592.33+1331.88-114
Betsson1.63-1592.27+1271.82-1221.88-1141.88-114
BetUS1.67-1492.34+1341.91-1101.87-1151.95-105
Bovada1.63-1592.33+1331.87-1151.87-1151.95-105
Courtside1.63-1592.37+1371.89-112
DraftKings1.62-1612.34+1341.89-1121.87-1151.95-105
Everygame1.65-1542.38+1381.91-1101.83-1202.00+100

Since the market opened: Rockies to win opened 2.31, best now 2.44; the over 11 opened 1.89, best now 1.89 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 188 of 394 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 22
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Colorado Rockies
+1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Colorado Rockies on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Colorado Rockies
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Matchbook
on Colorado Rockies
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Tyler Locklear 1BOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut

Probable pitcher

Michael Soroka SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP
Availability updated Sep 23, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 23 Sep

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction and Picks, September 23, 2026

On September 23, 2026 our model has run Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +3.5 (-263), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-112). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies Win (+134)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies Win (+134). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at +134 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-120). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-156)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-156). That is a totals 1st 1 innings bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +2.5 (-185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +2.5 (-185). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +3.5 (-263)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +3.5 (-263). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 23 Sep

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 23, 2026

On September 23, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-625)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-625). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -625 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineColorado Rockies to win+166
1-4L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA5.6Home L51-4vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline vs Arizona Diamondbacks is live and our model makes it 44% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 1-4.

Run LineColorado Rockies run line+1.5 +104
53%cover %
-0.3proj. margin
L5 RF3.0L5 RA5.6Home L51-4vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread vs Arizona Diamondbacks is live and our model makes it 53% (LEAN); proj. margin -0.3.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Arizona DiamondbacksUnder 19.5 -2500
95%under %
10.8proj. runs
L5 RF3.0L5 RA5.6Home L51-4vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3Free board20-16

Colorado Rockies total runs vs Arizona Diamondbacks is live and our model makes it 95% (HIGH); proj. runs 10.8.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
3.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA5.6Home L51-4vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 3.0 runs/gm.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7ARIHome
W5–3SEAHome
L1–2SEAHome
L4–5SEAHome
L3–9SDHome
Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2COLAway
W5–3NYYHome
W8–4NYYHome
L2–9NYYHome
L3–4MIAHome

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.0 runs per game (1-4) while Arizona Diamondbacks are at 4.0 (2-3); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 5.6 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for Arizona Diamondbacks.

3.0
Colorado Rockies runs/G
4.0
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesArizona Diamondbacks
Runs / game3.04.0
Hits / game8.48.8
Home runs / game0.41.4
Walks drawn / game2.83.2
Batter K / game9.010.0
Earned runs allowed / game5.64.2
Pitching K / game7.88.4
Walks allowed / game2.63.6
L5 record1-42-3

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 3, Arizona Diamondbacks won 7.

DateColorado RockiesArizona DiamondbacksWinner
Sep 2327Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 1232Colorado Rockies
Aug 1264Colorado Rockies
Aug 1109Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2445Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2419Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2332Colorado Rockies
May 2212Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1768Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1619Arizona Diamondbacks

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Kris Bryant DHOUT
Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Tyler Locklear 1BOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT
A.J. Puk RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — where the money went

Since betting opened on Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, the market has moved away from Colorado Rockies across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Colorado Rockies 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Colorado Rockies▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 11.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 11.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Arizona Diamondbacks▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 11▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 11▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies prediction for September 23, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 23, 2026 our model has run Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Colorado Rockies +3.5 (-263), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Diamondbacks vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Diamondbacks. The next scheduled game is Thursday 24 September 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Arizona Diamondbacks 41–21 across the last 62 meetings · these games average 10.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
11 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
10 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
24 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–4Arizona Diamondbacks
23 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
22 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
21 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
17 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies6–8Arizona Diamondbacks
16 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies4–2Colorado Rockies
15 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies1–9Arizona Diamondbacks

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

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