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Model picks & player props
Arizona Diamondbacks
VS
Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:09PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sat 16 Aug 2025, 12:40AM
10
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Colorado Rockies (Moneyline)
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (MLB), model win probability 43.5%, fair odds 2.30, book price +157, model edge +4.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 16 Aug 2025, 12:40AM at Coors Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
+157
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Carroll RFDay-to-day
  • Justin Martinez RPOut
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Jordan Lawlar LFOut
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Michael Soroka SPOut
  • Tommy Troy LFOut
  • Zac Gallen SPOut
  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
  • Blake Walston SPOut

Probable pitcher

Mitch Bratt SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L53-2

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L53-2

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Arizona DiamondbacksNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.7implied team total
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L53-2

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 4.3 runs per game (2-3) while Arizona Diamondbacks are at 4.6 (2-3); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 4.6 for Arizona Diamondbacks.

4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
4.6
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesArizona Diamondbacks
Runs / game4.34.6
Hits / game5.67.4
Home runs / game0.61.2
Walks drawn / game3.93.8
Batter K / game8.09.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.84.6
Pitching K / game5.19.0
Walks allowed / game3.22.2
L5 record2-32-3

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks stats and odds.</p>

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Colorado Rockies Win (+157)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Colorado Rockies are a solid bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite having a slightly lower overall record in the last 5 games, the Rockies have a strong record against the Diamondbacks, winning 4 out of their last 5 encounters. This suggests a good match-up for the Rockies. Additionally, the Rockies have been more effective at limiting their opponents' runs, allowing an average of just 3.2 runs in their last 5 games, compared to the Diamondbacks' 5.2. While the Diamondbacks have been scoring slightly more runs on average, their higher runs allowed average could be a liability. The Rockies' performance data indicates a strong defensive team that has been successful against this specific opponent, making them a good pick for this bet.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Colorado Rockies Win (+156)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the Colorado Rockies is a solid choice based on their recent performance against the Arizona Diamondbacks, with a 4-1 record in their last five matchups. This suggests that the Rockies have a strong understanding of the Diamondbacks' strategies and are able to effectively counter them. Furthermore, the Rockies have shown a consistent defensive performance, allowing an average of only 3.2 runs in their last five games overall and 4.2 at home. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 5.2 runs overall and 5.4 away. Although the Diamondbacks have a slightly higher runs scored average, the Rockies' superior defensive record should offset this advantage. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Rockies are a good bet for the Moneyline market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 16 August 2025 at Coors Field. The model has generated 10 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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