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Model picks & player props
Arizona Diamondbacks
VS
Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:17PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sat 16 Aug 2025, 12:40AM
10
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Colorado Rockies (Moneyline)
The model graded 10 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $257 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 43.5%, fair odds 2.30, book price +157, model edge +4.6%. Tip-off Sat 16 Aug 2025, 12:40AM at Coors Field.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Jordan Lawlar LFOut
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
  • Drey Jameson RPOut
  • Michael Soroka SPOut
  • Justin Martinez RPOut
  • Merrill Kelly SPDay-to-day
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • Blake Walston SPOut
  • Tommy Troy LFOut
  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Zac Gallen SPOut
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut

Probable pitcher

Michael Soroka SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Arizona Diamondbacks L51-4

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Arizona Diamondbacks L51-4

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Arizona DiamondbacksNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
1.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Arizona Diamondbacks L51-4

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies — 10 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7STLAway
L2–3STLAway
W8–6STLAway
L7–9TBHome
L0–4TBHome
Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2LADHome
W4–2LADHome
W4–3LADHome
L1–5SDHome
W10–4SDHome

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 4.3 runs per game (2-3) while Arizona Diamondbacks are at 4.6 (2-3); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 4.6 for Arizona Diamondbacks.

4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
4.6
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesArizona Diamondbacks
Runs / game4.34.6
Hits / game5.67.4
Home runs / game0.61.2
Walks drawn / game3.93.8
Batter K / game8.09.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.84.6
Pitching K / game5.19.0
Walks allowed / game3.22.2
L5 record2-32-3

Who’s out or in doubt

24 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Jeff Criswell RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Jordan Lawlar LFOUT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOUT
Drey Jameson RPOUT
Michael Soroka SPOUT
Justin Martinez RPOUT
Merrill Kelly SPDAY-TO-DAY
A.J. Puk RPOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks stats and odds.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Colorado Rockies Win (+157)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Colorado Rockies are a solid bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite having a slightly lower overall record in the last 5 games, the Rockies have a strong record against the Diamondbacks, winning 4 out of their last 5 encounters. This suggests a good match-up for the Rockies. Additionally, the Rockies have been more effective at limiting their opponents' runs, allowing an average of just 3.2 runs in their last 5 games, compared to the Diamondbacks' 5.2. While the Diamondbacks have been scoring slightly more runs on average, their higher runs allowed average could be a liability. The Rockies' performance data indicates a strong defensive team that has been successful against this specific opponent, making them a good pick for this bet.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Diamondbacks vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Diamondbacks. The most recent game between them was Saturday 16 August 2025 at Coors Field. The model has generated 10 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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