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MLB

Pavin Smith

MLB

Value call

Pavin Smith has one live pick today: over 0.5 RBIs that pays $353 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
27 in 100
Predicted
0.5 RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 27.5% · before adjusting for past results 32.0% · the book's price implies 28.3% · gap -0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Pavin Smith
over 0.5 RBIs
Batter - RBIs Over 0.5 +253 (3.53) · $100→$353
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 27 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$35.30 Odds+253
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pavin Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On Batter - RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 27 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 27%, the price says 28%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 6:43PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs32.0%27.5%28.3%3.58+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Pavin Smith Over 0.5 Batter - RBIs (+253)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Pavin Smith has been hitting the ball well lately, getting hits about 1.2 times more often than usual. The Arizona Diamondbacks are on a roll, winning five of their last six games and pulling off three straight wins on the road. With the wind blowing out toward the outfield tonight, it could be a great night for hitters, and that includes Smith. Betting on Smith to get at least one RBI feels solid here. The odds are quite favorable, making him an underdog with a real shot. The biggest risk is the tough Padres pitching, which could limit scoring opportunities. But with Smith's recent form and the conditions at Petco Park, he has a good chance to bring in a run.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over +142 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pavin Smith is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pavin Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Sunday 27 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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