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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 8:51PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline +125

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $225 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at Chase Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win81.8%
The price says44.4%
Best price+125
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers High82% chance +125
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings High88% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings High66% chance
Moneyline Lean57% chance
Spread Long-shot21% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Spread Long-shot11% chance
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 93%
Batter - Total Bases × 7 props Highup to 93%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 14 props Highup to 85%
Batter - Singles × 4 props Highup to 83%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits × 6 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 83%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Arizona Diamondbacks -2.5 · $100 returned $570

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Glasnow SP

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Zac Gallen SPOut
  • Tommy Troy LFOut
  • Michael Soroka SPOut
  • Ketel Marte 2BOut
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Blake Walston SPOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Justin Wrobleski Pitcher - Strikeouts
Gabriel Moreno Batter - Total Bases
Kyle Tucker HOU Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Gabriel Moreno Batter - Singles
Max Muncy LAD Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2Free board11-10

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
1.0runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 1 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–6SFAway
W7–1SFAway
L1–6SFAway
W5–4CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2DETAway
W2–1DETAway
L0–1ATLAway
L5–6ATLAway
L3–4ATLAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 2.8 runs per game (3-2) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 2.0 (0-5); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 4.6 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

2.8
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
2.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game2.82.0
Hits / game3.84.6
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game0.41.8
Batter K / game1.22.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.84.6
Pitching K / game1.82.4
Walks allowed / game0.61.0
L5 record3-20-5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 7, Los Angeles Dodgers won 3.

DateArizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Aug 912Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 942Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 843Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1292Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1253Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1193Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 532Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 407Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 356Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 241Arizona Diamondbacks

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Burnes SPOUT
Zac Gallen SPOUT
Tommy Troy LFOUT
Michael Soroka SPOUT
Ketel Marte 2BOUT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOUT
Ryne Nelson SPOUT
Blake Walston SPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers 0.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +1 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -0.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks 0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 63 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 33–29 across the last 63 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks4–2Arizona Diamondbacks
8 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks4–3Arizona Diamondbacks
7 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks4–3Arizona Diamondbacks
12 Jul 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–5Arizona Diamondbacks
11 Jul 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–9Arizona Diamondbacks
10 Jul 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–9Arizona Diamondbacks
5 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks3–2Arizona Diamondbacks
4 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks0–7Los Angeles Dodgers
3 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks0–7Los Angeles Dodgers
2 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–6Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 63 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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