Betting on Geraldo Perdomo for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a sound choice, based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Perdomo has averaged only 0.4 singles overall, and 0.8 when playing at home. His batting average is also relatively low, with an overall average of 0.6 hits and 1 hit at home. Even when considering his performance against this specific opponent, the Cincinnati Reds, his average is still only 0.8 singles. Despite his current hit streaks, the averages suggest that Perdomo is unlikely to hit more than 1.5 singles in this game. The implied probability of 79.4% further supports this outcome. Therefore, the statistical data indicates that betting on Under 1.5 is a good choice.
TJ Friedl (CIN) Under 1.5 Singles (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet for TJ Friedl to finish Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a strong choice, based on his recent performance data. Despite a solid overall hit streak, Friedl's average in the last five away games is notably lower, at just 1 single per game. His overall batting average drops to 1.8 hits when playing away, further supporting this trend. Additionally, against the Diamondbacks, Friedl's average drops even further to 1 hit per game, with only 0.4 singles. This consistent underperformance in away games and specifically against the Diamondbacks, suggests that Friedl is less likely to hit more than 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting on the Under 1.5 selection for Friedl's singles is statistically supported.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 5.5 alternate_team_totals (-102)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Arizona Diamondbacks' performance at home has been strong recently, with a 4-1 record in their last five games and an average of 4.2 runs scored. Their batting average is also impressive at 7.8 hits per game. On the other hand, the Cincinnati Reds' defensive statistics show they've allowed an average of 4.6 runs in their last five games, both overall and away. This suggests the Diamondbacks' offense may be able to capitalize on the Reds' defense. Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a perfect 5-0 record against the Reds in their last five encounters. The model prediction of 6.56 runs also supports the bet on the Diamondbacks scoring over 5.5 runs. Therefore, the combination of the Diamondbacks' strong offensive performance at home and the Reds' defensive struggles makes this a favorable bet.
Jose Trevino (CIN) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jose Trevino for Under 2.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is statistically sound, given his recent performance. Over his last five games, Trevino's average in hits, runs, and RBIs has been consistently low. His overall average for hits is 1.2, for runs it's 0.8, and for RBIs it's 0. This means that even at his best recent performance, he is not reaching the 2.5 mark. Moreover, when playing away games, his averages do not improve. Additionally, he does not have a current hit streak, indicating a lack of momentum. Finally, his performance against the Diamondbacks specifically is even worse, with averages of 0 in hits, runs, and RBIs. These statistics all suggest that Trevino is unlikely to exceed 2.5 in the Hits Runs RBIs market.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 4.5 alternate_team_totals (-323)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a strong record against the Cincinnati Reds, winning all of their last five encounters. Their average runs scored at home in the last five games (4.2) is close to the line of 4.5, suggesting they have the capacity to score this many runs. The model prediction also suggests a higher run total (6.56). Moreover, the Reds have an average runs allowed of 4.6 in their last five games, which aligns with the Diamondbacks' scoring potential. The Diamondbacks also have a high batting average at home (7.8), which could translate into more runs. Considering these statistics, betting on Arizona Diamondbacks to score over 4.5 runs is a data-driven choice.