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The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Windsor is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Caleb Windsor

Melbourne

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -769 (1.13)
+0.3% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
88.7%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
16.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals88.7%—88.5%1.13+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Caleb Windsor (Melbourne) Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Caleb Windsor hitting the Over 10.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against North Melbourne, the numbers are painting a promising picture. Over his last five away games, Windsor has been on a tear, averaging a solid 13.8 disposals. His recent form shows he's no stranger to racking up the possessions, with a knack for finding the footy, especially on the road. Considering his consistency in contested possessions, efficient ball use, and ability to cover ground with 237 meters gained on average in away games, Windsor seems poised to make an impact. With an impressive overall hit rate and facing an opponent where he's historically performed well in terms of disposals, backing Windsor to exceed the 10.5 disposals line could be a smart move for punters looking to capitalize on his strong form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14.1avg disposals recent
Season best25
Disposals last 10avg 14.1 · hi 25 · lo 6
13892110162518156

Caleb Windsor has a disposals high of 25 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 12.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Caleb Windsor (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Windsor is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 18 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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