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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Viney is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 83%, edge +4.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:44AM UTC
AFL

Jack Viney

Melbourne

+4.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+4.2% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
22.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.6% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +4.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.6%60.8%83.3%1.64+4.2%

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AI Analysis

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Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Jack Viney Over 16.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Betting on Jack Viney to have over 16.5 disposals at -500 looks promising. Our numbers show that he has a strong chance to hit this mark, especially since he plays for Melbourne, who have been solid at home. In their last ten games, Melbourne has been winning contested balls by a good margin, giving players like Viney more chances to get their hands on the ball. However, Carlton has also been on a roll, winning eight of their last ten. Their defense has been tough, and they only allow about 79 points a game. Even so, Viney has shown he can shine in these situations, and with the support of his teammates, he should have plenty of opportunities to rack up those disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Viney averaged 21.0 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

21.0
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.6
Marks
6.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Jack Viney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood11025
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS302510
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide23038
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs13006
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS23115
21 Jul 24Fremantle23022
13 Jul 24Essendon20003
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles18055
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions26018
22 Jun 24North Melbourne25036
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Viney (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Viney is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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