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AFL

Harry Sharp

Melbourne

Value call

Harry Sharp (Melbourne) has one live pick today: over 11.5 disposals that pays $137 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
15.1 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.5% · the book's price implies 73.0% · gap +3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 1:15 PM AEST
Harry Sharp
over 11.5 disposals
Disposals Over 11.5 -270 (1.37) · $100→$137
Value call
HIGHWins about 77 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.70 Odds-270
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Sharp is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 73%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 6:59PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 22°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.5%—73.0%1.31+3.6%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Sharp (Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Harry Sharp. The young gun for the Melbourne Demons has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 14.6 disposals in his last five home games. Facing off against Fremantle at the MCG, Harry's shown consistency with a 11.5 line. With his knack for finding the footy, boasting 7.6 kicks and 7 handballs per game, he's a prime candidate to surpass that mark. What's even more promising is his recent form against Fremantle, where he bumped his disposals average to 6.5. Harry's been a reliable presence, especially at home, with a current hit streak and a 69.6% disposal efficiency to boot. The numbers don't lie, folks. Backing Harry Sharp to go over 11.5 disposals seems like a safe bet with a high probability of hitting the mark. Get on board and watch him snag those crucial possessions to help the Demons secure the win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harry Sharp averaged 10.3 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 6 games in 2024.

10.3
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.0
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Essendon), Harry Sharp recorded 3 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Essendon3011
17 Aug 24Collingwood14022
26 May 24Hawthorn2000
18 May 24Richmond12140
12 May 24Adelaide Crows13043
5 May 24Gold Coast SUNS18174
20 May 23Gold Coast SUNS10141
13 May 23Essendon17061
5 May 23Carlton13133
16 Jul 22GWS GIANTS10021
Quick answers:How many disposals does Harry Sharp average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 11.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 11.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry Sharp (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Sharp is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.6% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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