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AFL

Tom Sparrow

Melbourne

+11.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 +125 (2.25)
+11.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs
Sun 1 Jun, 5:20AM
Model Probability
55.9%
Implied Probability
44.4%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value
0.6 Goals

AI Analysis

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Tom Sparrow (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (+125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom Sparrow is a strong candidate to score anytime in the upcoming game against St Kilda based on his recent performance. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 games, including 1 goal in the last home game, his goal-scoring capabilities are evident. His high goal accuracy of 63.3% and frequent involvement in the scoring plays (3.2 score involvements per game) enhance his chances. Additionally, facing an opponent where he has previously scored (0.8 goals on average), playing at home in Alice Springs further boosts his scoring potential. Considering his consistent performance and the model's prediction of 0.6 goals, the bet on Tom Sparrow to score anytime seems well-supported by statistical data and recent form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 22.2% (2/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over +125 ✗ MISS
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over +125 ✗ MISS
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over +125 ✗ MISS
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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