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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harvey Langford is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 53%, implied 72%, edge +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:33AM UTC
AFL

Harvey Langford

Melbourne

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.3% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.8% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%53.4%72.5%1.87+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Harvey Langford (Melbourne) Over 13.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harvey Langford is poised to shine in the upcoming clash between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues at the iconic MCG. Langford's recent form is nothing short of stellar, boasting an impressive streak of seven consecutive hits in his last seven games. His knack for racking up disposals is undeniable, with an average of 17 touches per game in his last five home appearances. Facing Carlton, a team he's historically managed an average of 18 disposals against in their past encounters, Langford's chances look even more promising. With his current hot streak and consistent performance, Langford seems primed to surpass the 13.5 disposals mark set by the bookies. Betting on Langford to go over in the disposals market could be a wise move given his recent track record and familiarity with the opponent.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Harvey Langford has cleared 10.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o10.590%
o11.590%
o12.590%
o14.570%
o15.550%
o17.530%
o18.520%
o19.520%
o21.50%
o22.50%
o24.50%
o25.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harvey Langford is averaging 15.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

15.4
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power Goals Pending
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Goals Pending

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About This Player

Harvey Langford (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harvey Langford is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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