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AFL

Harvey Langford

Melbourne

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28)
+0.2% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 13 Jul, 3:10AM
Model Probability
78.3%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
18.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Harvey Langford (Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harvey Langford, with consistent recent form and impressive L5 stats, is poised to excel in the upcoming home game at the MCG. Langford's L5 average of 18.6 disposals comfortably exceeds the set line of 14.5. His high disposalefficiency (72.9%) and strong performance in contestedpossessions (6.8) and uncontestedpossessions (12) indicate his ability to find the ball effectively. With a current hit streak of 5 for home games and 4 overall, Langford's trend suggests he's primed to surpass the line. Despite a slight model edge, Langford's reliability and recent performance make the Over 14.5 disposals bet a compelling choice for this matchup against North Melbourne.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 100.0% (50/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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