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AFL

Kysaiah Pickett

Melbourne

+1.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -435 (1.23)
+1.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
82.9%
Implied Probability
81.3%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-435)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Kysaiah Pickett's recent form, it's clear he's been a goal-snagging machine, especially when playing at home. Over his last five home games, Pickett has averaged 0.8 goals per game, showcasing a sharp 35.7% goal accuracy. With an average of 3 shots at goal and 5.8 inside 50s in those games, he's been a constant threat in the forward line. Moreover, against the upcoming opponent, the Brisbane Lions, Pickett has historically performed even better, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five encounters. Currently boasting a hot streak of 12 consecutive games with at least one goal, Pickett has been a reliable goal scorer. With such consistent form and a strong track record against Brisbane, betting on Pickett to score over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash at the MCG seems like a prudent move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 1.5 Over +103 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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About This Player

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). The latest model pick for Kysaiah Pickett is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.