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AFL

Kysaiah Pickett

Melbourne

Value call

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) has one live pick today: under 24.5 disposals that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
21.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 70.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 7:35 PM AEST
Kysaiah Pickett
under 24.5 disposals
Disposals Under 24.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kysaiah Pickett is Under 24.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.2%49.4%53.2%2.00+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Kysaiah Pickett Under 24.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Kysaiah Pickett has been showing some serious skill lately, but he might not hit the number of disposals needed in this game. Our numbers suggest he could struggle to get more than 24.5 disposals, especially since he usually has a tough time getting involved when the pressure is high. The Melbourne Demons are up against the Carlton Blues, who are known for their solid defense. The risk here is that Pickett could surprise us, but with how the match-up looks, it seems likely he'll stay under that mark. Betting on the under for his disposals feels like a smart choice today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Kysaiah Pickett averaged 12.7 disposals, 1.7 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

12.7
Disposals
1.7
Goals
2.7
Marks
3.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Kysaiah Pickett recorded 15 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood15223
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS4001
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide21446
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs8223
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS8128
21 Jul 24Fremantle6015
13 Jul 24Essendon15213
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles13242
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions12546
22 Jun 24North Melbourne10132
Quick answers:How many disposals does Kysaiah Pickett average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 24.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kysaiah Pickett is Under 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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