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AFL

Kysaiah Pickett

Melbourne

+19.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -112 (1.89)
+19.3% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 13 Jun, 3:15AM
Model Probability
72.2%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+19.3%
Predicted Value
21.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Kysaiah Pickett's recent performances, it's clear he's been a force to be reckoned with on the field. However, when it comes to his disposals, he's shown a slight dip in his numbers. Over his last five home games, Pickett has averaged 18 disposals, falling just short of the 24.5 line set for this matchup against Essendon. His disposalefficiency sits at 66.5%, indicating he's making the most of his possessions but might not be getting as many opportunities as needed to hit that line. With Essendon likely to apply pressure, Pickett's stats against this opponent also suggest he might not reach that 24.5 mark. The model predicting 21.6 disposals further supports this rationale, making the under on Pickett a strong bet for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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About This Player

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Kysaiah Pickett is Under 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.3% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 13 June at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.