Jake Bowey (Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-161)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Bowey averaging 20 disposals over his last five home games, with a model predicting 22.2 disposals for this upcoming match, indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding the line of 19.5 disposals set by sportsbet. His consistent performance in contested possessions (5.4), kicks (14.2), and metres gained (416) further supports this bet. Despite facing the West Coast Eagles, against whom he averages 16 disposals, Bowey's recent form and home advantage make him a favorable choice. With an 8.9% model edge and a solid track record of hitting his disposal targets, Bowey is poised to maintain his form and surpass the set line.