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AFL

Jake Bowey

Melbourne

+8.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -161 (1.62)
+8.9% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Melbourne Demons
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 2 Aug, 3:20AM
Model Probability
70.6%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+8.9%
Predicted Value
22.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jake Bowey (Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Bowey averaging 20 disposals over his last five home games, with a model predicting 22.2 disposals for this upcoming match, indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding the line of 19.5 disposals set by sportsbet. His consistent performance in contested possessions (5.4), kicks (14.2), and metres gained (416) further supports this bet. Despite facing the West Coast Eagles, against whom he averages 16 disposals, Bowey's recent form and home advantage make him a favorable choice. With an 8.9% model edge and a solid track record of hitting his disposal targets, Bowey is poised to maintain his form and surpass the set line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 71.4% (5/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 25 West Coast Eagles @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 19.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 19.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 21.5 Over -106 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
01 Jun 25 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Bowey (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 71.4% (5/7). The latest model pick for Jake Bowey is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 2 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.