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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ed Langdon is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +1.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Ed Langdon

Melbourne

+1.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -227 (1.44)
+1.9% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
71.3%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+1.9%
Predicted Value
21.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.3%—69.4%1.40+1.9%

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AI Analysis

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Ed Langdon (Melbourne) Over 18.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Ed Langdon's recent form, it's clear he's been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up possessions and driving Melbourne's attack. In his last 5 away games, he's averaging a solid 21 disposals, comfortably surpassing the 18.5 line set for this matchup against North Melbourne. With a knack for finding space and making smart decisions (82.4% disposal efficiency), Langdon is a reliable ball-magnet who can impact the game on multiple fronts. Facing North Melbourne, a team he's historically performed well against, averaging 16.2 disposals in their recent clashes, Langdon should thrive in this contest. Bet confidently on Langdon to surpass 18.5 disposals and continue his stellar form on the road.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
22.3avg disposals recent
Season best37
Disposals last 10avg 22.3 · hi 37 · lo 16
20172231172123193716

Ed Langdon has a disposals high of 37 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.6avg goals recent
Season best1
Goals last 10avg 0.6 · hi 1 · lo 0
0011110110

Ed Langdon has a goals high of 1 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 18.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ed Langdon (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ed Langdon is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 18 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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