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AFL

Toby Bedford

GWS GIANTS

+14.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -128 (1.78)
+14.6% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 6 Sep, 5:15AM
Model Probability
70.8%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+14.6%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Toby Bedford (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-128)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Toby Bedford is a solid bet to score anytime against Hawthorn. With an impressive 1.2 goal average in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he has scored an average of 0.7 goals in their home matchups, Bedford's consistent performance makes him a reliable choice. His 71.7% goal accuracy and involvement in 4.4 scoring opportunities per game further support this bet. With a model predicting him to score 0.9 goals, significantly above the line of 0.5, and a calculated edge of 14.6%, Bedford's recent form and matchup history indicate a high likelihood of him snagging a goal in this upcoming game, making this bet a valuable opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 56.0% (28/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -128 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -128 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending

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