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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kieren Briggs is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 54%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:22AM UTC
AFL

Kieren Briggs

GWS GIANTS

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+16.6% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
14.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +16.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%51.9%54.1%1.93+16.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kieren Briggs (GWS GIANTS) Over 12.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in the AFL player prop market, Kieren Briggs stands out as a prime target for hitting Over 12.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows. In his last five away games, Briggs has been a consistent performer, averaging 11.6 disposals with a solid 57.3% disposal efficiency. His ability to cover ground is evident, averaging 151.8 metres gained per game. Moreover, when facing the Crows, Briggs has maintained an average of 12 disposals over his last five matchups. With the model predicting him to reach 14.9 disposals in this game, there's a compelling case for backing him to surpass the 12.5 disposals line set by the bookmakers. Briggs' recent form and historical performance against Adelaide make him a strong contender to snag plenty of possessions and contribute significantly to the Giants' midfield dominance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Kieren Briggs averaged 15.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.0 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

15.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.0
Marks
4.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Kieren Briggs recorded 13 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13126
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans14034
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs14034
17 Aug 24Fremantle12125
4 Aug 24Hawthorn7007
27 Jul 24Melbourne17034
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS14023
14 Jul 24Richmond151314
6 Jul 24Carlton22039
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows13043
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Kieren Briggs (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kieren Briggs is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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