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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Stringer is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Jake Stringer

GWS GIANTS

+6.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -769 (1.13)
+6.2% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 3:35AM
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Model Probability
94.7%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+6.2%
Predicted Value
1.8 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals94.7%—88.5%1.06+6.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Jake Stringer (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jake Stringer snagging goals, the stats don't lie. Stringer's been on fire at home, averaging a solid 2.4 goals over his last five games. With a keen eye for the big sticks and a recent hit streak of 5 games at home, Stringer's goal-scoring prowess is undeniable. His ability to get involved in the play is evident, with an average of 7.2 score involvements in his recent home performances. Against Fremantle, he's been even sharper, averaging 4 goals in his last five matchups. With an impressive 88.5% implied probability of scoring over 0.5 goals in this game, the smart money is on Stringer to keep his scoring streak alive at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
2.4avg goals L5
Away1.6vs Essendon3Season best5
O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%
O 5.510%
Game log vs line (O 2.5)avg 1.8 · hi 5 · lo 0
5210114112

Jake Stringer has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2.4 goals, best 5).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jake Stringer (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Stringer is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 4 July at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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