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AFL

Toby Greene

GWS GIANTS

+11.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -500 (1.20)
+11.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sun 12 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
95.0%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+11.6%
Predicted Value
1.8 Goals

AI Analysis

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Toby Greene (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Toby Greene's recent form, it's clear he's been on fire in front of the big sticks. The Greater Western Sydney Giants sharpshooter has been bagging goals for fun, averaging 1.4 goals in his last five home games. His accuracy has been impressive too, hitting the target 21.9% of the time. Add in his knack for finding space inside 50 with an average of 5.4 inside 50s per game, and you have a player who's always in the thick of the action. Facing off against Richmond, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 2 goals in their recent matchups, Greene is poised to continue his scoring spree. With the betting line set at just 0.5 goals, backing Greene to snag at least one major seems like a safe bet given his recent hot streak and consistent goal-scoring record.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -435 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Toby Greene (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Toby Greene is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 12 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.