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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 4:04PM UTC
AFL

Jake Riccardi

GWS GIANTS

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+9.7% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
79.6%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+9.7%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals79.6%69.9%1.26+9.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in AFL, Jake Riccardi of the Greater Western Sydney Giants ticks all the boxes. In his last five home games, Riccardi has been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks, averaging 1.8 goals per game with a solid goal accuracy of 61.7%. Facing the Gold Coast Suns, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 1.7 goals in their last five encounters, Riccardi is primed to capitalize on his opportunities. With an average of 2.4 shots at goal and 5.6 score involvements per game at home, he's actively involved in the Giants' attacking plays. Bet on Riccardi to continue his scoring form and snag at least one goal in this matchup at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka. The numbers and trends suggest he's poised to split the middle and deliver for the Giants.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.8avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 11.8 · hi 19 · lo 8
10111419101081899

Jake Riccardi has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.2avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.2 · hi 4 · lo 0
0410221110

Jake Riccardi has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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