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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Jake Riccardi

GWS GIANTS

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -250 (1.40)
+1.0% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 27 Mar, 8:40AM
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Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals72.4%—71.4%1.38+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to snagging goals away from home, Jake Riccardi is a force to be reckoned with. Over his last 5 away games, he's been on fire, averaging 1.4 goals per game against quality opposition. With an impressive goal accuracy of 48.3% and an average of 3 shots at goal per game, Riccardi knows how to find space and split the middle with precision. His ability to impact the scoreboard is further highlighted by his average of 6.4 score involvements per game. Facing Collingwood, a team he's been particularly productive against in recent matchups, with an average of 1.3 goals per game, Riccardi is poised to continue his scoring streak. With a line set at just 0.5 goals, backing Riccardi to go over is a smart play given his recent form and scoring prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.8avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 11.8 · hi 19 · lo 8
10111419101081899

Jake Riccardi has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.2avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.2 · hi 4 · lo 0
0410221110

Jake Riccardi has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 27 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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