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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 65%, implied 72%, edge +4.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:12AM UTC
AFL

Jake Riccardi

GWS GIANTS

+4.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+4.8% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sun 16 Aug, 3:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.3% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +4.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals77.3%65.0%72.5%1.54+4.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Riccardi, the lanky forward for Greater Western Sydney Giants, has been a scoring machine at home lately, with an average of 1.8 goals per game over his last five matches. Facing off against West Coast Eagles at ENGIE Stadium, Riccardi's sharpshooting prowess shines through with a solid 61.7% goal accuracy. His knack for finding space inside 50 and creating scoring opportunities is evident with an average of 3.2 inside 50s and 5.6 score involvements in his recent home games. Given his reliable form and the Eagles' defense struggling to contain him in their last encounters, backing Riccardi to snag at least one goal is a smart play. With the odds in our favor and Riccardi's hunger for goals, hitting the back of the net is more than just a possibility; it's a probability.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jake Riccardi averaged 10.8 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.9 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

10.8
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.9
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (27 Jul 24 vs Melbourne), Jake Riccardi recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
27 Jul 24Melbourne9042
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS9150
14 Jul 24Richmond18172
6 Jul 24Carlton8121
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows10242
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans10251
16 Jun 24Port Adelaide190120
8 Jun 24Hawthorn14173
25 May 24Geelong Cats11452
18 May 24Western Bulldogs10043
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 West Coast Eagles @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Riccardi is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 16 August at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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