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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Idun is Under 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 53%, edge +17.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 27, 2:57PM UTC
AFL

Connor Idun

GWS GIANTS

+17.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+17.0% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 8:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
19.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +17.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.2%53.2%1.42+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Connor Idun (GWS GIANTS) Under 22.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Connor Idun hitting the Under 22.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against Port Adelaide, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five away games, he's been solid but not quite hitting the 22.5 threshold consistently, averaging 22.2 disposals. His recent trend shows he's more likely to fall just short of that mark. Plus, in his last five encounters against Port Adelaide, he's averaged 16.5 disposals. With his current form and historical performance against this opponent, taking the under on Idun's disposals seems like a smart play. The stats suggest he might struggle to hit that line this time around, making this bet a tantalizing prospect for footy punters looking to snag a favorable edge.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Connor Idun averaged 19.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

19.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.8
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Connor Idun recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions15063
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans18074
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs19030
17 Aug 24Fremantle18081
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions23061
4 Aug 24Hawthorn20080
27 Jul 24Melbourne15064
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS27071
14 Jul 24Richmond210101
6 Jul 24Carlton24090
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 22.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 22.5 Under -105 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 22.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Connor Idun (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Idun is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 1 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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