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AFL

Connor Idun

GWS GIANTS

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28)
+2.0% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sun 24 Aug, 2:20AM
Model Probability
80.1%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
18.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Connor Idun (GWS GIANTS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Connor Idun is poised to shine against St Kilda based on his recent form. With a strong average of 16.2 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he averages 17.3 disposals, Idun's consistency is key. His ability to gain meters (305 avg) and maintain high disposal efficiency (87.1%) further support this bet. Despite the line being set at 14.5, the model's prediction of 18.7, showcasing a 2.0% edge, aligns with Idun's recent performances. His overall hit rate of 18/20 and 10/11 at home strengthen the confidence in this bet, making the Over 14.5 disposals for Connor Idun a promising choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (45 picks) 80.0% (36/45)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
04 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
04 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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