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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachie Whitfield is Under 28.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 52%, edge +19.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 4:59PM UTC
AFL

Lachie Whitfield

GWS GIANTS

+19.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 28.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
+19.8% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
25.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap +19.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%49.1%52.1%2.03+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Lachie Whitfield (GWS GIANTS) Under 28.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Lachie Whitfield hitting the Under 28.5 disposals mark against the Adelaide Crows, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Despite his recent form showing an average of 28.4 disposals in away games, he faces a tough challenge besting his L5 average of 27.4 overall disposals. His history against the Crows is no walk in the park either, with an average of 31.4 disposals in their last five encounters. With his contested possessions at 5.4 and turnovers at 2.8 in away games, Whitfield might find it challenging to rack up the disposals needed to surpass the 28.5 line. Add in his recent hit rate of 4/6, and the odds seem to favor a more subdued performance this time around. Betting on Whitfield to go under 28.5 disposals could be a shrewd move in this matchup at Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachie Whitfield averaged 30.2 disposals, 0.0 goals and 7.1 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

30.2
Disposals
0.0
Goals
7.1
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachie Whitfield recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19054
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans24046
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs42093
17 Aug 24Fremantle270113
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions25021
4 Aug 24Hawthorn370102
27 Jul 24Melbourne35065
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS400105
14 Jul 24Richmond350122
6 Jul 24Carlton30072
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 28.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 30.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 22.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Lachie Whitfield (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachie Whitfield is Under 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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