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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clayton Oliver is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
AFL

Clayton Oliver

GWS GIANTS

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -714 (1.14)
+0.1% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
30.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.8%—87.7%1.14+0.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Clayton Oliver (GWS GIANTS) Over 24.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Clayton Oliver is a midfield maestro in red-hot form, making the Over 24.5 disposals prop a tantalizing prospect. At home, his recent averages of 30 disposals per game and a stellar 70.3% efficiency have propelled him to a 10-game hitting streak, boasting a perfect 10/10 record. Facing Geelong, a team he's historically dominated with an average of 30.7 disposals in their last five matchups, Oliver's knack for receiving handballs (18.4) and generating meters gained (379.6) showcase his playmaking prowess. With an overall hit rate of 20/20 and the venue favoring him, expect Oliver to be the linchpin for Greater Western Sydney, slicing through the Cats' midfield to comfortably surpass the 24.5 disposals line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 33.5
33.2avg disposals L5
Away33.4vs Essendon30.8Season best35
O 31.570%
O 32.550%
O 33.550%
O 34.540%
O 35.530%
O 36.520%
Game log vs line (O 33.5)avg 21.1 · hi 29 · lo 14
19281429142518262216

Clayton Oliver has gone over 33.5 disposals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 33.2 disposals, best 35).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 24.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 24.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 23.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Clayton Oliver (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clayton Oliver is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 11 July at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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