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AFL

Clayton Oliver

Melbourne

+12.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -111 (1.90)
+12.9% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
65.6%
Implied Probability
52.6%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
24.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Clayton Oliver (Melbourne) Under 26.5 Disposals (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

If you're eyeing the Under 26.5 disposals for Clayton Oliver in the upcoming clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Greater Western Sydney Giants, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Oliver has been a midfield maestro, but recent trends suggest he might fall just shy of this mark. Over his last five away games, he's averaged 26 disposals, tantalizingly close to the line. His contested possessions and overall efficiency are solid, but facing the Giants, who have held him to an average of 25.5 disposals in their last five encounters, could prove pivotal. With Oliver's recent form teetering around our model's prediction of 24.5, the Under becomes a tempting play. Trust the data, and watch as Oliver battles to snag the contested ball and kick through the big sticks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 46.0% (23/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 26.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 26.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
15 Jun 25 Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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