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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clayton Oliver is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:20PM UTC
AFL

Clayton Oliver

GWS GIANTS

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 23.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+2.9% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.4%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value
30.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.4%—88.5%1.09+2.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Clayton Oliver (GWS GIANTS) Over 23.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Clayton Oliver is primed to make waves in this clash as the Greater Western Sydney Giants host the Gold Coast Suns at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka. Oliver's recent form paints a picture of dominance, with an average of 32.6 disposals over his last five home games. His knack for finding the footy is undeniable, boasting an impressive disposal efficiency of 67.4% and racking up 14.2 kicks and 18.4 handballs per game in that span. Facing the Suns, against whom he's averaged 31 disposals in his last five encounters, Oliver is set to thrive. With his ability to impact contests, generate metres gained, and create turnovers, backing Oliver to surpass 23.5 disposals is a smart play for punters seeking an edge in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 28.5
28.6avg disposals L5
Home32.6vs Gold Coast SUNS29.8Season best35
O 26.580%
O 27.580%
O 28.570%
O 29.550%
O 30.550%
O 31.550%
Game log vs line (O 28.5)avg 21.1 · hi 29 · lo 14
19281429142518262216

Clayton Oliver has gone over 28.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 28.6 disposals, best 35).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 23.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 24.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 25.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Clayton Oliver (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clayton Oliver is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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