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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:07PM UTC
AFL

Aaron Cadman

GWS GIANTS

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+7.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.1%—85.5%1.07+7.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Aaron Cadman's recent form, it's clear he's been a real threat in front of goal. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a solid shot accuracy of 51.7%, Cadman has been making his opportunities count. His ability to impact the scoreboard is further highlighted by his average of 5.8 score involvements per game. Against the Gold Coast Suns, Cadman has been even more prolific, averaging 1.3 goals in his last five matchups. With a consistent record of hitting the scoreboard and facing a favorable opponent, Cadman looks primed to snag at least one goal in this upcoming clash. Betting on Cadman to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart move given his current form and historical performances against the Suns.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
90%hit L10 O 0.5
1avg goals L5
Home1.6vs Gold Coast SUNS1.8Season best3
O 0.590%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
0110131231

Aaron Cadman has gone over 0.5 goals in 9 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1 goals, best 3).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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