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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 80%, implied 85%, edge +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:15AM UTC
AFL

Aaron Cadman

GWS GIANTS

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+7.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.1% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +7.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.1%80.5%85.5%1.24+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Aaron Cadman's recent form, it's clear he's been a real threat in front of goal. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a solid shot accuracy of 51.7%, Cadman has been making his opportunities count. His ability to impact the scoreboard is further highlighted by his average of 5.8 score involvements per game. Against the Gold Coast Suns, Cadman has been even more prolific, averaging 1.3 goals in his last five matchups. With a consistent record of hitting the scoreboard and facing a favorable opponent, Cadman looks primed to snag at least one goal in this upcoming clash. Betting on Cadman to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart move given his current form and historical performances against the Suns.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Aaron Cadman averaged 7.5 disposals, 1.3 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

7.5
Disposals
1.3
Goals
2.3
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Aaron Cadman recorded 11 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions11153
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans7327
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs9221
17 Aug 24Fremantle4135
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions11354
4 Aug 24Hawthorn12115
27 Jul 24Melbourne3010
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS6112
14 Jul 24Richmond9151
6 Jul 24Carlton8043
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Goals Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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