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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +8.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Aaron Cadman

GWS GIANTS

+8.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+8.1% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
92.9%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+8.1%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.9%—84.7%1.08+8.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Aaron Cadman stands out for the upcoming clash against St Kilda. In his last five away games, he's been a reliable contributor, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Cadman's sharp goal accuracy of 60% on the road and his tendency to get involved in the scoring plays, with an average of 4.8 score involvements, make him a potent threat in the forward line. With his recent form against St Kilda showing an average of 2 goals in their away matchups, Cadman seems primed to capitalize on his opportunities. Considering his consistent performance and the Giants' reliance on his scoring prowess, taking the Over 0.5 goals for Cadman could be a smart bet for this game at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 1.5
2avg goals L5
Away1.8vs Essendon0.7Season best3
O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
0110131231

Aaron Cadman has gone over 1.5 goals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2 goals, best 3).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 1.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Cadman is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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