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AFL

Stephen Coniglio

GWS GIANTS

+13.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 18.5 -118 (1.85)
+13.6% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 6 Sep, 5:15AM
Model Probability
67.6%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+13.6%
Predicted Value
16.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Stephen Coniglio (GWS GIANTS) Under 18.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Stephen Coniglio is likely to go under 18.5 disposals based on his recent form. Despite facing Hawthorn, where he averages 31.3 disposals in his last five matchups, Coniglio's home game average of 12 disposals and recent form suggest a lower output. His L5 home contested possessions and intercepts are below par, indicating reduced involvement. Additionally, his turnover rate is low, likely impacting his disposals. With a predicted 16.2 disposals and an edge of 13.6%, Coniglio's recent performance, especially in contested possessions and disposals, supports a bet on him going under 18.5 disposals in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 16.7% (1/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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