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AFL

Stephen Coniglio

GWS GIANTS

Value call

Stephen Coniglio (GWS GIANTS) has one live pick today: under 18.5 disposals that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
15.9 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.3% · before adjusting for past results 70.0% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap -2.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 8:10 PM AEST
Stephen Coniglio
under 18.5 disposals
Disposals Under 18.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.20 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephen Coniglio is Under 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:05AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.0%49.3%52.1%2.03+17.9%

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AI Analysis

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Stephen Coniglio (GWS GIANTS) Under 18.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Stephen Coniglio hitting the under on 18.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five away games, Coniglio has averaged 14.4 disposals – a fair bit below the line. His recent form in contested possessions (4.8 avg) and turnovers (1.8 avg) further support this bet. Additionally, facing the Crows, he averages 20.7 disposals in away games and 23.5 overall, but recent trends show him falling short of this mark. With a current hit rate of 4 out of 5 under this line in away games, and a hit rate of 10 out of 17 overall, the data suggests Coniglio is likely to struggle to reach that 18.5 threshold in this matchup. Expect him to fall short in this clash at the Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Stephen Coniglio averaged 21.1 disposals, 0.3 goals and 1.9 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

21.1
Disposals
0.3
Goals
1.9
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Stephen Coniglio recorded 2 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions2000
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans14035
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs19000
17 Aug 24Fremantle24026
14 Jul 24Richmond16002
6 Jul 24Carlton28104
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows19002
25 May 24Geelong Cats12022
18 May 24Western Bulldogs22026
11 May 24Essendon24034
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 11.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Goals — — — Pending
16 Aug 26 West Coast Eagles @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Stephen Coniglio (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephen Coniglio is Under 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.9% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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