Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 8.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Cody Williams is stepping onto the court for the Utah Jazz, but don't let the home crowd fool you into thinking he'll light it up. Averaging a mere 3.4 points over his last five games, even the most optimistic fans would struggle to see him surpass 8.5 against the New York Knicks, a team he hasn't scored against in his last outings. In fact, at home, he's only managed 4.2 points on average recently. The Jazz are relying on their more established scorers, which leaves Williams in a limited role. With a perfect hit rate of 9 for 9 on the under in his last games and a clear trend favoring lower output, this feels like a solid bet. Expect the Knicks' defense to stifle him further, making the under not just plausible but likely. Lock in the under on Williams, and watch as the numbers tell a story of restraint rather than breakout.

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 3.5 Assists (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Cason Wallace's upcoming matchup against the Boston Celtics, there's a compelling case to target the under on his assists line set at 3.5. Even playing at home, Wallace has averaged just 1 assist over his last five games, a stark contrast to the 3.2 assists he typically dishes out against Boston. Considering recent performances, he hasn't hit this number in his last ten games, with an overall hit rate of 10 for 10 on the under. At home, he's managed just 2.5 assists against the Celtics, a figure that further bolsters this under bet. Given that the Celtics are known for their defensive prowess, especially in limiting opposing playmakers, it's likely we'll see Wallace struggle to find his rhythm. With an implied probability of 65.8% backing this play, placing a wager on the under feels like a savvy move.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 2.5 Assists (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 2.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Diabate, while talented, has averaged just 1 assist in his last five games, and when you look at his performance away from home, that number barely nudges up to 1.2. Against the Kings specifically, he hasn't recorded a single assist in their last matchups, and considering he's on the road, that trend likely continues. With a remarkable hit rate of 14 out of his last 15 games for staying under this mark, the signs are all pointing toward a low-output night for him. The Kings' defense is no walk in the park either, further tightening the screws on his playmaking opportunities. Given that backdrop, betting on Diabate to finish under 2.5 assists feels like a calculated move in this matchup.

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Over 11.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, particularly for his points prop set at 11.5. Harris has been in undeniable form lately, averaging 14.4 points at home over the last five games, a testament to his ability to find space and capitalize on opportunities in front of the home crowd. Notably, he's found success against the 76ers, averaging 14.7 points in their recent matchups. And let's not overlook his impressive hit rate-he's cleared this number in 12 of his last 13 home games. With the Pistons looking to assert themselves and Harris riding a three-game streak of hitting the over, it feels like a perfect storm for him to light up the scoreboard. Expect him to not just meet, but exceed that 11.5 mark on Thursday.

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 12.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to host the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Cason Wallace, but betting on him to surpass 12.5 combined points and assists might be a stretch. In his recent outings, Wallace has averaged just 6.4 points and a mere 0.6 assists over the last five games-numbers that don't inspire confidence against a formidable Celtics defense.Even at home, his production remains modest, with averages of 7.2 points and 1 assist. Historically, he's managed 11 points against Boston, but those figures drop to 9 when he's on his own court. Plus, with a flawless hit rate of 15/15 for unders in his last 15 games, it's clear he's not exceeding expectations. Given the Celtics' ability to stifle opposing guards, it's reasonable to believe Cason Wallace will fall short of that 12.5 mark.

Ja'Kobe Walter (Toronto Raptors) Over 6.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When targeting Ja'Kobe Walter for the over on 6.5 points against the Raptors, the numbers tell a compelling story of a player poised to shine. Walter has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging 12.6 points over his last five games and hitting double digits consistently, even on the road where he's dropped an average of 11.2 points. His recent performances against Toronto have been particularly impressive, with an average of 14 points in their last five encounters, showcasing his ability to step up against this opponent. Remarkably, he's hit the over in all six of his last games, and when you consider his perfect track record away from home, it's hard not to feel confident. With an expected stat value of nearly 10 points and a hit rate of 100% in both home and away contests, targeting the over feels like a smart move for this matchup.

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