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Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors

Value call

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) has one live pick today: under 6.5 assists that pays $179 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
4.6 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 85.8% · the book's price implies 55.9% · gap +29.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 10:00 PM ET
Draymond Green
under 6.5 assists
Assists Under 6.5 -127 (1.79) · $100→$179
Value call
HIGHWins about 86 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.90 Odds-127
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Draymond Green is Under 6.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 86%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists85.8%—55.9%1.17+29.9%

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AI Analysis

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Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him to go under 6.5 assists might just be the savvy play. While he's been a playmaker this season, his recent performances tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's averaging 8 assists, but break it down by location, and the numbers shift. On the road, that average drops to 6.6, and against Phoenix, he's only averaging 3.4 assists over their last five matchups, both home and away. With the Suns' defense tightening and Green's role fluctuating, expecting him to eclipse that 6.5 mark seems optimistic. He's hit the under in five of his last seven away games, making this a compelling opportunity to capitalize on. The numbers suggest a tighter game script, and Green's assist totals might just reflect that narrative.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Draymond Green — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Draymond Green averaged 9.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists in 29.6 minutes per game, shooting 41.7% from the field and 31.4% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
6.0
RPG
5.4
APG
1.5
SPG
1.0
BPG
29.6
MPG
41.7%
FG%
31.4%
3P%

Draymond Green — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Draymond Green has played 33.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.4
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Draymond Green — points hit rate

Draymond Green has scored over 11.5 points in 30% of 843 career games.

o11.530%
o12.525%
o15.515%

Draymond Green — home vs away scoring

At home Draymond Green averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.8
PPG on the road

Draymond Green — scoring by opponent

Draymond Green scores most against the TOR, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
TOR
10.3
LAC
10.1
OKC
9.8
DAL
9.7
CHA
9.4
SAC

Draymond Green — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Draymond Green has averaged 9.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN341472
10 Mayvs MIN29224
8 May@ MIN29945
6 May@ MIN351886
4 May@ HOU401665
2 Mayvs HOU37857
30 Apr@ HOU18711
28 Aprvs HOU31682
26 Aprvs HOU34784
23 Apr@ HOU31851
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 6.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 7.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Draymond Green is Under 6.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Friday 17 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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