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Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors

Value call
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) has one live pick today: under 5.5 points that pays $305 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
5.8 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.6% · before adjusting for past results 58.7% · the book's price implies 32.8% · gap +16.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Wed 28 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Draymond Green
under 5.5 points
Points Under 5.5 +205 (3.05) · $100→$305
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$30.50 Odds+205
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Draymond Green is Under 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 33%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 8:19AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points58.7%49.6%32.8%2.02+25.9%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors: Draymond Green Under 5.5 Points (+205)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Draymond Green has been a key player for the Golden State Warriors, but he's been scoring less lately. In this matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Green is facing a team that has a strong defense and forces turnovers effectively. The Timberwolves have a knack for limiting points, making it tougher for opponents to get their shots off. While Green can surprise us sometimes, the odds are pretty close here. He might struggle to hit more than 5 points against a Timberwolves team that lets opponents shoot a lot of threes but is also good at cleaning up the boards. The biggest risk is that Green could have an off game, which he's shown can happen.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Draymond Green — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Draymond Green averaged 9.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists in 29.6 minutes per game, shooting 41.7% from the field and 31.4% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
6.0
RPG
5.4
APG
1.5
SPG
1.0
BPG
29.6
MPG
41.7%
FG%
31.4%
3P%

Draymond Green — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Draymond Green has played 33.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.4
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Draymond Green — points hit rate

Draymond Green has scored over 11.5 points in 30% of 843 career games.

o11.530%
o12.525%
o15.515%

Draymond Green — home vs away scoring

At home Draymond Green averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.8
PPG on the road

Draymond Green — scoring by opponent

Draymond Green scores most against the TOR, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
TOR
10.3
LAC
10.1
OKC
9.8
DAL
9.7
CHA
9.4
SAC

Draymond Green — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Draymond Green has averaged 9.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN341472
10 Mayvs MIN29224
8 May@ MIN29945
6 May@ MIN351886
4 May@ HOU401665
2 Mayvs HOU37857
30 Apr@ HOU18711
28 Aprvs HOU31682
26 Aprvs HOU34784
23 Apr@ HOU31851
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Points 5.5 Under +205 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 6.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 7.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Draymond Green is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Draymond Green is Under 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.9% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday 28 October at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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