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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Draymond Green is Under 20.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 51%, edge +23.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:34PM UTC
NBA

Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors

+23.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 20.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+23.5% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
15.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.5% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +23.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts74.5%51.0%1.34+23.5%

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AI Analysis

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Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns in Phoenix, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but bettors might want to consider the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 20.5. Green's recent outings paint a telling picture-averaging just 4.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 8 assists over his last five games. On the road, those numbers dip further, where he's only managing 10.2 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Against the Suns specifically, he's averaged a mere 4.6 points in their last few matchups, and historically, his away performance against them has been underwhelming with just 6.4 points per game. With a hit rate of only 9 out of his last 17 away games, it seems likely that Draymond will struggle to eclipse that 20.5 mark in what promises to be a tough matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Draymond Green — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Draymond Green averaged 9.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists in 29.6 minutes per game, shooting 41.7% from the field and 31.4% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
6.0
RPG
5.4
APG
1.5
SPG
1.0
BPG
29.6
MPG
41.7%
FG%
31.4%
3P%

Draymond Green — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Draymond Green has played 33.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.4
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Draymond Green — points hit rate

Draymond Green has scored over 11.5 points in 30% of 843 career games.

o11.530%
o12.525%
o15.515%

Draymond Green — home vs away scoring

At home Draymond Green averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.8
PPG on the road

Draymond Green — scoring by opponent

Draymond Green scores most against the TOR, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
TOR
10.3
LAC
10.1
OKC
9.8
DAL
9.7
CHA
9.4
SAC

Draymond Green — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Draymond Green has averaged 9.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN341472
10 Mayvs MIN29224
8 May@ MIN29945
6 May@ MIN351886
4 May@ HOU401665
2 Mayvs HOU37857
30 Apr@ HOU18711
28 Aprvs HOU31682
26 Aprvs HOU34784
23 Apr@ HOU31851
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Draymond Green is Under 20.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.5% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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