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NBA

Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat

+4.3% Edge
Latest Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 -244 (1.41)
+4.3% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami
Sat 28 Feb, 8:30PM
Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value
0.7 3-Pointers

AI Analysis

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Pelle Larsson (Miami Heat) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Let's take a closer look at Pelle Larsson's performance as the Heat welcomes the Rockets to their home court this Saturday. Larsson's shooting from beyond the arc has been struggling, especially at home. He's been sinking under 1.5 triples with a striking consistency, hitting this mark in 16 of the last 20 games. That's an 80% hit rate, guys. Even our models are indicating a strong 70.9% implied probability for Larsson to stay under this outcome. Our expected stat value sits comfortably at 0.68, showing his recent dry spell from the three-point line is not just a fluke. So, if you're eyeing a solid player prop bet for this clash, I'd lean into Larsson's under 1.5 threes made. As the old saying goes, bet the trend until it ends.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds 4.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT

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