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Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat

+16.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 -196 (1.51)
+16.8% Edge
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Fri 27 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
83.0%
Implied Probability
66.2%
Model Edge
+16.8%
Predicted Value
16.1 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Pelle Larsson (Miami Heat) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Pelle Larsson, the Miami Heat have their work cut out for them. Over his last ten games, he's been on fire, hitting his points and rebounds mark in nine of those outings. Even more impressive, he's perfect in the last six games away from home, averaging a solid 12.6 points and 4.2 rebounds on the road. Now, the Cavaliers are known for being tough, but Larsson has shown he can rise to the occasion. His recent average of 13.2 points overall suggests he's not just a role player; he's stepping up when it matters most. Against the Heat, he's averaged 7.8 points, and while that's modest, it doesn't account for his upward trend. Given his current form and a favorable matchup, betting on him to go over 9.5 points and rebounds looks like a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 100.0% (5/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over +125 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 12.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat 3-Pointers Pending
27 Feb 26 Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Pelle Larsson (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (5/5). The latest model pick for Pelle Larsson is Over 9.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday 27 March at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.