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The latest Bet Better model pick for Collin Gillespie is Over 13.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Collin Gillespie

Phoenix Suns

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 13.5 -101 (1.99) · $100→$199
+16.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
66.2%
Implied Probability
50.3%
Model Edge
+16.0%
Predicted Value
16.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs66.2%50.3%1.51+16.0%

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AI Analysis

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Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to host the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes should be on Collin Gillespie. While his recent averages of 7.4 points and 2.8 rebounds might not jump off the page, there's more to this story when looking at his home performance. At home, he's managed to score an average of 9 points and pull down 3 rebounds, nudging him closer to that 13.5 mark we're targeting.What's particularly intriguing is Gillespie's knack for stepping up against the Mavericks. Historically, he's averaged around 3 points and 3 rebounds against them at home, consistently providing a spark. Plus, with a home hit rate of 9 out of 12 in his last few outings, he's proven to rise to the occasion when the crowd is behind him. Expect him to not only meet but exceed that 13.5 threshold, making this a compelling play for your betting slips.

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Pick History & Track Record

Collin Gillespie — 2024-25 season averages

Over 33 games in the 2024-25 season, Collin Gillespie averaged 5.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 13.9 minutes per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 43.3% from three-point range.

5.9
PPG
2.4
RPG
2.4
APG
0.6
SPG
0.2
BPG
13.9
MPG
43.0%
FG%
43.3%
3P%

Collin Gillespie — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Collin Gillespie has played 23.0 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

23.0
MPG (L5)
9.6
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Collin Gillespie — home vs away scoring

At home Collin Gillespie averages 6.1 points per game; on the road, 5.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

6.1
PPG at home
5.6
PPG on the road

Collin Gillespie — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Collin Gillespie has averaged 10.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ SAC281233
11 Aprvs SA221372
9 Aprvs OKC231764
8 Aprvs GS24634
6 Apr@ NY18044
4 Apr@ BOS13820
1 Apr@ MIL361824
30 Marvs HOU23344
28 Mar@ MIN2622510
26 Marvs BOS16510
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Collin Gillespie is Over 13.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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