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The latest Bet Better model pick for Collin Gillespie is Over 13.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:56AM UTC
NBA

Collin Gillespie

Phoenix Suns

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 13.5 -101 (1.99) · $100→$199
+16.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
66.2%
Implied Probability
50.3%
Model Edge
+16.0%
Predicted Value
16.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs66.2%—50.3%1.51+16.0%

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AI Analysis

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Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to host the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes should be on Collin Gillespie. While his recent averages of 7.4 points and 2.8 rebounds might not jump off the page, there's more to this story when looking at his home performance. At home, he's managed to score an average of 9 points and pull down 3 rebounds, nudging him closer to that 13.5 mark we're targeting.What's particularly intriguing is Gillespie's knack for stepping up against the Mavericks. Historically, he's averaged around 3 points and 3 rebounds against them at home, consistently providing a spark. Plus, with a home hit rate of 9 out of 12 in his last few outings, he's proven to rise to the occasion when the crowd is behind him. Expect him to not only meet but exceed that 13.5 threshold, making this a compelling play for your betting slips.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
3.5avg · last 10
L53.4Szn2.4Home2.4Away2.3Best10
2+61%
4+30%
6+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3.5 · hi 10 · lo 0
01044044423

Collin Gillespie is averaging 3.5 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.4, best 10). He clears 2+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
10.4avg · last 10
L59.6Szn5.9Home6.1Away5.6Best22
1+82%
6+39%
11+18%
16+9%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 10.4 · hi 22 · lo 0
522318806171312

Collin Gillespie is averaging 10.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.9, best 22). He clears 6+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
13.9avg · last 10
L513.0Szn8.2Home8.5Away7.9Best32
3+82%
8+42%
13+24%
18+9%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 13.9 · hi 32 · lo 4
5327228410211515

Collin Gillespie is averaging 13.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.2, best 32). He clears 8+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
14.1avg · last 10
L514.2Szn8.2Home8.6Away7.8Best27
3+88%
8+42%
13+18%
18+12%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 14.1 · hi 27 · lo 4
6277201049232015

Collin Gillespie is averaging 14.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.2, best 27). He clears 8+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
17.6avg · last 10
L517.6Szn10.6Home11.1Away10.1Best37
1+94%
6+70%
11+42%
16+21%
21+12%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 17.6 · hi 37 · lo 6
637112410813272218

Collin Gillespie is averaging 17.6 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.6, best 37). He clears 11+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
3.7avg · last 10
L54.6Szn2.4Home2.5Away2.2Best7
2+58%
4+27%
6+9%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3.7 · hi 7 · lo 1
1542243673

Collin Gillespie is averaging 3.7 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.4, best 7). He clears 2+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.5avg · last 10
L52.2Szn0.6Home0.8Away0.5Best3
1+39%
2+18%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.5 · hi 3 · lo 0
0112033212

Collin Gillespie is averaging 1.5 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.6, best 3). He clears 1+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Collin Gillespie is Over 13.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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