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NBA

Klay Thompson

Miami Heat

Value call

Klay Thompson (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: under 1.5 rebounds that pays $285 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
1.7 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.8% · before adjusting for past results 52.1% · the book's price implies 35.1% · gap +16.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Klay Thompson
under 1.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 1.5 +185 (2.85) · $100→$285
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$28.50 Odds+185
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Klay Thompson is Under 1.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 35%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 6:57AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds52.1%51.8%35.1%1.93+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Klay Thompson Under 1.5 Rebounds (+185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Klay Thompson is known for his shooting, not his rebounding. In this matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves, he might have a tough time grabbing boards. The Timberwolves play a fast-paced game, which usually means more shots and less time for Klay to get rebounds. This bet is a little risky because he could surprise us and grab a couple of rebounds. However, with the odds sitting at +185, it feels like a fair chance that he stays under 1.5 rebounds. With both teams being close in skill, it's worth considering this pick as they battle it out at the Kaseya Center.

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Pick History & Track Record

Klay Thompson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 74 games in the 2024-25 season, Klay Thompson averaged 14.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 27.5 minutes per game, shooting 41.6% from the field and 39.4% from three-point range.

14.1
PPG
3.4
RPG
2.0
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
27.5
MPG
41.6%
FG%
39.4%
3P%

Klay Thompson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Klay Thompson has played 27.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.4
MPG (L5)
13.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Klay Thompson — points hit rate

Klay Thompson has scored over 20.5 points in 42% of 804 career games.

o11.584%
o12.580%
o15.566%
o20.542%
o25.521%

Klay Thompson — home vs away scoring

At home Klay Thompson averages 14.1 points per game; on the road, 14.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

14.1
PPG at home
14.2
PPG on the road

Klay Thompson — scoring by opponent

Klay Thompson scores most against the UTAH, averaging 23.1 points per game in that matchup.

23.1
UTAH
21.5
TOR
21.0
HOU
20.6
POR
20.4
MIL
20.1
SA

Klay Thompson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Klay Thompson has averaged 13.2 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Apr@ MEM321823
16 Apr@ SAC332352
11 Aprvs TOR19712
9 Aprvs LAL28621
5 Apr@ LAC251410
4 Apr@ LAC13200
2 Aprvs ATL291742
31 Marvs BKN281334
29 Mar@ CHI302011
27 Mar@ ORL261240
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat Rebounds 1.5 Under +185 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers — — — Pending
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Klay Thompson (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Klay Thompson is Under 1.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat on Wednesday 21 October at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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