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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Klay Thompson is Over 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Klay Thompson

Dallas Mavericks

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Over 1.5 -556 (1.18)
+3.7% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Mon 2 Mar, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
88.5%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
3.0 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers88.5%84.7%1.13+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Klay Thompson (Dallas Mavericks) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

On a Monday night rumble under the Dallas lights in March, the Mavericks lock horns with the Thunder, and one player, in particular, is primed to light up the court: Klay Thompson. Thompson's prowess beyond the arc is well-documented, but let's underline it. He's been a terror for the Thunder, knocking down an average of three three-pointers per game against them, and upping the ante to 4.5 when playing at home. And speaking of home, Thompson's overall average at his fortress in Dallas is a delicious three. Now, this isn't a flash in the pan trend; in his last 20 games, Thompson's hit over 1.5 threes 17 times. So, when the Mavericks' star guard steps onto the court, expect the unexpected. But one thing you can bank on? Thompson going over 1.5 threes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.1avg · last 10
L53.2Szn3.0Home3.1Away3.0Best14
1+91%
2+77%
3+61%
4+39%
5+24%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.1 · hi 5 · lo 0
2535042154

Klay Thompson is averaging 3.1 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 14). He clears 3+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
13.2avg · last 10
L513.6Szn14.1Home14.1Away14.2Best54
4+93%
9+77%
14+49%
19+28%
24+8%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13.2 · hi 23 · lo 2
12201317214672318

Klay Thompson is averaging 13.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.1, best 54). He clears 14+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Points 11.5 Over -135 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Klay Thompson (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Klay Thompson is Over 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks on Monday 2 March at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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