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NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Thu 5 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Chicago Blackhawks
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 25 markets for Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning and backs Chicago Blackhawks hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $360.

16
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 3rd Period Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$36.00Best price+260
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.3%
The price says27.8%

The model graded 25 markets for Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $360 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 5 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Benchmark International Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3rd Period Moneyline Chicago Blackhawks Long-shot30% chance +260
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot20% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only Lean55% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean43% chance Members
3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Lines Members only High71% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot20% chance Members
Points × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
Shots on Goal × 5 props Highup to 84% Members
Anytime Goal × 1 prop Long-shotup to 27% Members
Goals × 1 prop Long-shotup to 5% Members
Assists × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning last met on Thu 5 Nov 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3rd Period Moneyline
Chicago Blackhawks
+ 15 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago Blackhawks3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BlackhawksPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks3rd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BlackhawksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BlackhawksPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BlackhawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BlackhawksPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Blackhawks3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Patrick Kane RWOut
  • Bowen Byram DOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Brayden Point COut
Availability updated Nov 10, 3:30PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram and Brayden Point.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 6 Nov

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks Prediction & Picks

On November 05, 2026 our model has run Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago Blackhawks To Win (+330), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks To Win (+330)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Lightning have been solid lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They also play tough, blocking an average of 14.1 shots per game, keeping their opponents in check. On the other hand, the Chicago Blackhawks have struggled, winning only 3 of their last 10. However, they have a real chance here as an underdog. With Tampa Bay feeling the pressure of expectations, Chicago might surprise everyone. They need to step up their game, especially since they're blocking fewer shots and delivering fewer hits than Tampa. Still, with odds of +330, it's a bet that could pay off, especially if the Lightning falter. Just remember, the Blackhawks need to find their spark to pull off the upset.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks +0.5 3rd Period Puck Line (+122)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Lightning have been on a decent run, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They play tough, blocking 14 shots a game, which shows they put in the effort to defend. However, they haven't been as dominant as they used to be, and the Chicago Blackhawks, despite their struggles, have shown they can compete. The Blackhawks have won only 3 of their last 10, yet they can still put up a fight. Their ability to keep games tight makes this bet interesting. They block fewer shots and land fewer hits compared to Tampa, but with the odds being close to a coin flip, a +0.5 line for the Blackhawks in the third period feels worth a shot. Just keep in mind that Tampa playing at home adds to their advantage.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks +2.5 Puck Lines (-123)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been pretty strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They play tough, blocking an average of 14.1 shots a game, but they also take a lot of hits. Meanwhile, the Chicago Blackhawks have struggled, winning only 3 of their last 10. They block fewer shots than the Lightning and also land fewer hits per game. With the Blackhawks getting a +2.5 goal cushion, they could keep things close here. The Lightning may have home-ice advantage, but the Blackhawks are capable of surprising their opponents. The biggest risk is that the Lightning have looked more solid overall this season. Still, with their current form, this bet could pay off nicely.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Nikita Kucherov Under 1.5 Points (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

You can get a decent price for Nikita Kucherov to score under 1.5 points in this matchup. Kucherov plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning, who have won 6 of their last 10 games. He's up against the Chicago Blackhawks, a team that has only won 3 of their last 10. The Lightning's defense has been solid, as they block a lot of shots, and that might limit Kucherov's chances. The Blackhawks struggle to create chances, blocking fewer shots than the league average. However, there's a risk since Kucherov is a skilled player and can score at any time. Still, with the way both teams are playing, it looks like there's a good chance he might stay under 1.5 points tonight.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Anton Frondell Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+220)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Anton Frondell has been making some noise lately, and he's got a good chance to rack up shots in this game against the Chicago Blackhawks. The Lightning are known for their aggressive style, so Frondell should get plenty of opportunities to shoot. Plus, the Blackhawks aren't blocking as many shots as the league average, which means more chances for him. While Tampa Bay has won six of their last ten games, the Blackhawks have struggled, winning only three. This matchup is pretty close, and the outcome could go either way. Just keep an eye on how both teams are playing that night, as it could affect Frondell's chances to hit that mark of over 2.5 shots on goal.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Tyler Bertuzzi Over 0.5 Shots on Goal (-278)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Bertuzzi is a strong player who has a good chance of getting at least one shot on goal in this matchup. The Tampa Bay Lightning have been scoring well lately, winning six out of their last ten games. They also play a solid game, blocking an average number of shots, which means there will be opportunities for Bertuzzi to find his chances. On the other hand, the Chicago Blackhawks have struggled lately, winning only three of their last ten games. They block fewer shots compared to the Lightning, which could make it easier for Bertuzzi to get his shot off. The biggest risk is that Bertuzzi might not see enough ice time to create a chance, but with his skills, he's likely to get at least one shot on goal.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 6 Nov

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Friday 6 November 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning play Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Anton Frondell (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Anton Frondell (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-588)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Lightning play Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Anton Frondell (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Frank Nazar (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-476)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Lightning play Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Frank Nazar (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Tampa Bay Lightning v Chicago Blackhawks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nikita Kucherov Tampa Bay Lightning Points
Anton Frondell Chicago Blackhawks Shots on Goal
Tyler Bertuzzi Chicago Blackhawks Shots on Goal
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Tampa Bay Lightning Shots on Goal
Brayden Point Tampa Bay Lightning Shots on Goal

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Chicago BlackhawksNo line posted

Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineChicago Blackhawks +1.5No line posted

Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 25 betting markets for Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning — 16 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 25 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 24 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 games; Chicago Blackhawks have won 0 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MINAway
L3–4WPGAway
W4–1CHIHome
W4–2DETHome
L4–5NSHAway
Chicago Blackhawks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9CARAway
L1–4TBAway
L3–5FLAAway
L2–5COLHome
L4–5BOSAway

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 2, Chicago Blackhawks won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningChicago BlackhawksWinner
Nov 641Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 2421Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Brayden Point COUT
Chicago Blackhawks
PlayerStatus
Patrick Kane RWOUT
Bowen Byram DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Tampa Bay Lightning v Chicago Blackhawks, 6 November 2026. Top of the list: Chicago Blackhawks +2.5. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On November 05, 2026 our model has run Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago Blackhawks To Win (+330), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Blackhawks vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Blackhawks. The most recent game between them was Thursday 5 November 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 16 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 5 Nov 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat Chicago Blackhawks 4-1 at home
  • 23 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat Chicago Blackhawks 2-1 on the road

Chicago Blackhawks: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Carolina Hurricanes 2-9
  2. 5 Nov 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Lightning 1-4
  3. 4 Nov 2026Lostat Florida Panthers 3-5
  4. 2 Nov 2026Lostvs Colorado Avalanche 2-5
  5. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Boston Bruins 4-5

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 5 results

  1. 8 Nov 2026Lostat Winnipeg Jets 3-4
  2. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Minnesota Wild 4-3
  3. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Chicago Blackhawks 4-1
  4. 3 Nov 2026Wonvs Detroit Red Wings 4-2
  5. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Nashville Predators 4-5

Quick answers

Who won the last Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks game? Tampa Bay Lightning won their last meeting 4-1 on 5 November 2026.

How have Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning done lately? Chicago Blackhawks won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold. Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: the season so far

From every final score this season

Chicago Blackhawks are 4-14 this season and Tampa Bay Lightning are 11-6. Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-0 at home. Chicago Blackhawks are 0-9 on the road. Tampa Bay Lightning score 3.7 goals a game and let in 3.1. Chicago Blackhawks score 2.2 and let in 4.2. Tampa Bay Lightning games have averaged 6.8 goals in total; Chicago Blackhawks games have averaged 6.4. Chicago Blackhawks have lost their last 6.

SeasonChicago BlackhawksTampa Bay Lightning
Won-lost4-1411-6
At home4-58-0
On the road0-93-6
Last 101-96-4
Goals scored a game2.23.7
Goals let in a game4.23.1
Goals scored at home2.44.0
Goals scored away1.93.4
Against winning sides0-115-4
Current runLost 6Lost 1
Biggest win5-3 vs Pittsburgh Penguins6-2 at Vegas Golden Knights
Heaviest loss9-2 at Carolina Hurricanes5-1 at New York Rangers

Teams they have both played

  • Against Winnipeg Jets: Tampa Bay Lightning lost 3-4 on the road; Chicago Blackhawks won 4-3 at home.
  • Against Detroit Red Wings: Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-2 at home; Chicago Blackhawks lost 1-4 on the road.
  • Against Utah Mammoth: Tampa Bay Lightning lost 4-5 on the road; Chicago Blackhawks lost 0-6 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Tampa Bay Lightning doing this season? Tampa Bay Lightning are 11-6 this season: 8-0 at home and 3-6 on the road.

How many goals do Chicago Blackhawks score a game? Chicago Blackhawks score 2.2 goals a game this season and let in 4.2, across 18 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Fri 6 Nov 2026, Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning: the Lightning won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
6 Nov 2026Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–1Tampa Bay Lightning
24 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Chicago Blackhawks1–2Tampa Bay Lightning
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