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The latest Bet Better model pick for Desmond Bane is Under 27.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +28.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NBA

Desmond Bane

Orlando Magic

+28.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 27.5 -114 (1.88)
+28.1% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 10:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.3%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+28.1%
Predicted Value
20.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts81.3%—53.2%1.23+28.1%

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AI Analysis

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Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Detroit Pistons, Desmond Bane's performance may not quite reach the lofty expectations set by that 27.5 points + rebounds + assists line. Over his last five games, Bane has averaged just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists, which totals around 23 per game-not far off from our target. In away games, he's a bit better, but still hovers around 19.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.4 assists. While he's historically managed 24.4 points against this Pistons squad, the trend shows recent struggles, with only 2 out of his last 3 games eclipsing the total we're targeting. Given the Pistons' defensive focus and Bane's current form, betting the under feels like a prudent move in this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
3.1avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.4Home2.4Away2.4Best8
1+89%
2+72%
3+39%
4+23%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3.1 · hi 6 · lo 1
4363531222

Desmond Bane is averaging 3.1 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.4, best 8). He clears 2+ in 72% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.2avg · last 10
L54.4Szn5.3Home5.7Away4.9Best16
1+97%
3+84%
5+52%
7+32%
9+11%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.2 · hi 9 · lo 0
3391490445

Desmond Bane is averaging 4.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.3, best 16). He clears 5+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
22.2avg · last 10
L516.6Szn19.2Home17.9Away20.4Best49
9+91%
14+77%
19+59%
24+23%
29+11%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 22.2 · hi 38 · lo 9
3819282430229191023

Desmond Bane is averaging 22.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.2, best 49). He clears 19+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
26.4avg · last 10
L521.0Szn24.5Home23.6Away25.3Best57
14+89%
19+73%
24+56%
29+29%
34+16%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 26.4 · hi 41 · lo 9
4122372534319231428

Desmond Bane is averaging 26.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.5, best 57). He clears 24+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
28.4avg · last 10
L523.0Szn25.3Home24.2Away26.3Best55
15+89%
20+77%
25+55%
30+25%
35+13%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 28.4 · hi 45 · lo 11
45243430362711311828

Desmond Bane is averaging 28.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.3, best 55). He clears 25+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
32.6avg · last 10
L527.4Szn30.5Home29.9Away31.2Best63
21+84%
26+69%
31+56%
36+28%
41+13%
Game log vs O 30.5avg 32.6 · hi 48 · lo 11
48274331403611352233

Desmond Bane is averaging 32.6 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 30.5, best 63). He clears 31+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.4avg · last 10
L510.8Szn11.3Home12.0Away10.7Best22
5+99%
8+83%
11+52%
14+31%
17+9%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.4 · hi 16 · lo 2
10815710142161210

Desmond Bane is averaging 10.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.3, best 22). He clears 11+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
0.8avg · last 10
L51.0Szn1.1Home1.0Away1.3Best5
1+71%
2+35%
3+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
0011120120

Desmond Bane is averaging 0.8 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 5). He clears 1+ in 71% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts 27.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts 23.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 26.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Desmond Bane is Under 27.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.1% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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