Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 8.5 Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to face the Grizzlies, Scottie Barnes finds himself in a tricky spot. While he's been lighting it up with an average of 12.2 assists over his last five games, those numbers take a nosedive when he hits the road. Specifically, he's averaging just 9.6 assists away from home and a mere 5.2 assists against Memphis in their last encounters. With the Grizzlies boasting a formidable defense, particularly at home, it's tough to see Barnes eclipsing that 8.5 threshold. His overall hit rate of 14 out of 20 games is impressive, but the recent trend shows a stark contrast, especially with just 12 hits in his last 15 away games. Given that expected stat value sits around 6.19, it feels like a smart play to lean into the under on Barnes' assists this Saturday.

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 4.5 Assists (+117)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hornets gear up to face the Pacers, all eyes should be on Kam Jones for a potential under on his assists at 4.5. Despite his energetic play, he's averaging just 3.8 assists over his last five games, and when we zoom in on his away performances, that number ticks up to 4.2. However, against the Pacers specifically, he's been held to only 2 assists in their last outings, and history suggests that trend isn't likely to change. With a hit rate of just 3 out of his last 4 games at this number, and a remarkable 15 out of 19 when away, the signs point to a tough night for Jones. The Pacers' defense is known for stifling playmakers, and with this context, it's hard to see him surpassing the 4.5 assists mark. Locking in the under feels like a solid play here.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Atlanta Hawks and Brooklyn Nets, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 17.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy move. While he's been solid lately, averaging 9 rebounds and 8.2 assists over his last five games, the numbers tell a different story when he takes to the road. On away outings, his averages dip to 8.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists.Against Brooklyn, the matchup could be particularly tough; Johnson has only managed 2 assists in his last away game against them, and his combined numbers against the Nets point to a steady decline. With an expected stat value of 14.43, the under seems even more appealing. Given that he's hit the under in 4 of his last 7 away games, it's clear the trend is working in our favor. Expect a night where Johnson's impact is muted, making this under a potentially wise wager.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 16.5 Rebounds + Assists (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we approach the showdown between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Toronto Raptors, targeting Scottie Barnes for under 16.5 combined rebounds and assists seems like a savvy play. Although Barnes has been a force, averaging 12.2 assists over his last five games, his away numbers tell a different story. On the road, he's been more subdued, averaging just 9.6 assists and 5.8 rebounds. Against the Grizzlies, his recent stats show a significant drop-only 5.2 assists and 6 rebounds in away games. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 on the road falling below this line, it's clear that Barnes often struggles to make a big impact away from home. Given the Grizzlies' solid defense, it's reasonable to expect a game where he stays under that 16.5 threshold. This matchup favors a careful bet on the under for Barnes.

Kobe Brown (Indiana Pacers) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Indiana Pacers, all eyes will be on Kobe Brown, but betting on him to hit the over on 16.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a stretch. Brown has been consistent lately, averaging 11 points and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games. However, when he hits the road, those numbers dip significantly to 10.6 points and just 4.6 rebounds. Against the Pacers, the stats aren't kind, showing he typically contributes a mere 2.4 points and 1.4 rebounds. Even worse, in his recent away games against them, he mustered only 1 point and half a rebound. With a staggering 13 out of his last 16 outings hitting the under, it's hard to envision him breaking through this time. Given his recent performance and the matchup, the under on Brown's combined total seems like the smart play here.

Kobe Brown (Indiana Pacers) Under 10.5 Points (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Indiana Pacers, I see an intriguing spot for Kobe Brown, particularly with a player prop bet on him to score under 10.5 points. While he's averaged around 11 points over his last five games, his performance against the Pacers tells a different story-he's managed just 2.4 points per game against them recently, and even fewer, just 1 point, when playing away. This matchup might not favor Brown, especially considering he's found it tough to get going on the road, hitting the under in a whopping 16 of his last 20 away games. With the stakes high in an away environment, it's likely we see him struggle to find his rhythm against a Pacers defense that knows how to clamp down on shooters. Expect this trend to continue, making the under a compelling bet for this matchup.

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